Akresh Richard, Lucchetti Leonardo, Thirumurthy Harsha
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, BREAD, and IZA.
J Dev Econ. 2012 Nov 1;99(2):330-340. doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2012.04.001.
Conflict between and within countries can have lasting health and economic consequences, but identifying such effects can be empirically challenging. This paper uses household survey data from Eritrea to estimate the effect of exposure to the 1998-2000 Eritrea-Ethiopia war on children's health. The identification strategy exploits exogenous variation in the conflict's geographic extent and timing and the exposure of different birth cohorts to the fighting. The unique survey data include details on each household's migration history, which allows us to measure a child's geographic location during the war and without which war exposure would be incorrectly classified. War-exposed children have lower height-for-age Z-scores, with similar effects for children born before or during the war. Both boys and girls who are born during the war experience negative impacts due to conflict. Effects are robust to including region-specific time trends, alternative conflict exposure measures, and mother fixed effects.
国家之间以及国家内部的冲突可能会产生持久的健康和经济后果,但要确定这些影响在实证研究中具有挑战性。本文利用厄立特里亚的家庭调查数据,估计1998 - 2000年厄立特里亚 - 埃塞俄比亚战争对儿童健康的影响。识别策略利用了冲突在地理范围和时间上的外生变化,以及不同出生队列暴露于战斗的情况。独特的调查数据包括每个家庭迁移历史的详细信息,这使我们能够衡量战争期间儿童的地理位置,没有这些信息,战争暴露情况就会被错误分类。经历过战争的儿童身高别体重Z评分较低,战争前或战争期间出生的儿童也有类似影响。战争期间出生的男孩和女孩都会因冲突而受到负面影响。这些影响在纳入特定地区的时间趋势、替代冲突暴露衡量指标以及母亲固定效应后仍然稳健。