Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Cancer Res. 2012 Dec 1;72(23):6183-90. doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-12-2635. Epub 2012 Sep 27.
Understanding the fraction of newly detected human papillomavirus (HPV) infections due to acquisition and reactivation has important implications on screening strategies and prevention of HPV-associated neoplasia. Information on sexual activity and cervical samples for HPV DNA detection using Roche Linear Array were collected semiannually for two years from 700 women ages 35 to 60 years. Incidence and potential fraction of HPV associated with new and lifetime sexual partnerships were estimated using Poisson regression. Cox frailty models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for potential risk factors of incident HPV detection. Recent and lifetime numbers of sexual partners were both strongly associated with incident HPV detection. However, only 13% of incident detections were attributed to new sexual partners, whereas 72% were attributed to 5 or more lifetime sexual partners. Furthermore, 155 of 183 (85%) incident HPV detections occurred during periods of sexual abstinence or monogamy, and were strongly associated with cumulative lifetime sexual exposure [HR: 4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0-8.4). This association increased with increasing age. These data challenge the paradigm that incident HPV detection is driven by current sexual behavior and new viral acquisition in older women. Our observation that most incident HPV infection was attributable to past, not current, sexual behavior at older ages supports a natural history model of viral latency and reactivation. As the more highly exposed baby-boomer generation of women with sexual debut after the sexual revolution transition to menopause, the implications of HPV reactivation at older ages on cervical cancer risk and screening recommendations should be carefully evaluated.
了解新发现的人乳头瘤病毒 (HPV) 感染中归因于获得和再激活的部分,对筛查策略和预防 HPV 相关肿瘤具有重要意义。在两年的时间里,每半年从 700 名年龄在 35 岁至 60 岁的女性中收集有关性活动和使用罗氏线性阵列进行 HPV DNA 检测的宫颈样本。使用泊松回归估计与新的和终生性伴侣相关的 HPV 感染的发病率和潜在比例。使用 Cox 脆弱性模型估计 HPV 检出的潜在危险因素的风险比 (HR)。最近和终生的性伴侣数量都与 HPV 检出呈强相关。然而,仅有 13%的 HPV 检出归因于新的性伴侣,而 72%归因于 5 个或更多的终生性伴侣。此外,183 例 HPV 检出中有 155 例 (85%)发生在性禁欲或一夫一妻制期间,与累计终生性暴露强烈相关 [HR:4.1,95%置信区间 (CI):2.0-8.4)。这种关联随着年龄的增长而增加。这些数据挑战了 HPV 检出是由老年女性当前性行为和新病毒获得驱动的观点。我们观察到,大多数 HPV 感染是由过去而不是当前的性行为引起的,这一观察结果支持病毒潜伏和再激活的自然史模型。随着性革命后性活跃的生育高峰期女性进入更年期,HPV 在老年时再激活对宫颈癌风险和筛查建议的影响应仔细评估。