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血清降钙素原在慢性肾功能不全患者中的诊断价值:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Diagnostic value of serum procalcitonin in patients with chronic renal insufficiency: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Critical Care Medicine, Hunan Children's Hospital, Changsha, Hunan Province, China.

出版信息

Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2013 Jan;28(1):122-9. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfs339. Epub 2012 Oct 8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The diagnostic value of procalcitonin (PCT) for patients with renal impairment is unclear.

METHODS

We searched multiple databases for studies published through December 2011 that evaluated the diagnostic performance of PCT among patients with renal impairment and suspected systemic bacterial infection. We summarized test performance characteristics with the use of forest plots, hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curves, and bivariate random effects models.

RESULTS

Our search identified 201 citations, of which seven diagnostic studies evaluated 803 patients and 255 bacterial infection episodes. HSROC-bivariate pooled sensitivity estimates were 73% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 54-86%] for PCT tests and 78% (95% CI 52-92%) for CRP tests. Pooled specificity estimates were higher for both PCT and CRP tests [PCT, 88% (95% CI 79-93%); CRP, 84% (95% CI, 52-96%)]. The positive likelihood ratio for PCT [likelihood (LR)+ 6.02, 95% CI 3.16-11.47] was sufficiently high to be qualified as a rule-in diagnostic tool, while the negative likelihood ratio was not low enough to be used as a rule-out diagnostic tool (LR- 0.31, 95% CI 0.17-0.57). There was no consistent evidence that PCT was more accurate than CRP test for the diagnosis of systemic infection among patients with renal impairment.

CONCLUSIONS

Both PCT and CRP tests have poor sensitivity but acceptable specificity in diagnosing bacterial infection among patients with renal impairment. Given the poor negative likelihood ratio, its role as a rule-out test is questionable.

摘要

背景

降钙素原(PCT)在肾功能不全患者中的诊断价值尚不清楚。

方法

我们检索了多个数据库,以评估 2011 年 12 月前发表的关于肾功能不全合并疑似全身细菌感染患者 PCT 诊断性能的研究。我们使用森林图、分层汇总受试者工作特征(HSROC)曲线和双变量随机效应模型总结了检验性能特征。

结果

我们的检索共确定了 201 项研究,其中 7 项诊断研究评估了 803 例患者和 255 例细菌感染。HSROC 双变量汇总敏感性估计值 PCT 试验为 73%(95%置信区间 54-86%),CRP 试验为 78%(95%置信区间 52-92%)。PCT 和 CRP 试验的汇总特异性均较高[PCT,88%(95%置信区间 79-93%);CRP,84%(95%置信区间,52-96%)]。PCT 的阳性似然比[似然比(LR)+6.02,95%置信区间 3.16-11.47]足够高,可作为规则纳入的诊断工具,而阴性似然比则不足以作为规则排除的诊断工具(LR-0.31,95%置信区间 0.17-0.57)。没有一致的证据表明 PCT 在诊断肾功能不全患者的全身感染方面比 CRP 试验更准确。

结论

PCT 和 CRP 试验在诊断肾功能不全患者细菌感染方面均具有较差的敏感性,但特异性可接受。鉴于阴性似然比较差,其作为排除性试验的作用值得怀疑。

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