Parrado Emilio A, Flippen Chenoa A
University of Pennsylvania.
Race Soc Probl. 2012 Apr 1;4(1):18-30. doi: 10.1007/s12552-012-9063-9. Epub 2012 Feb 25.
In this paper we systematically describe the connection between immigration and fertility in light of the increasing nativist reaction to Hispanic groups. We follow a life-course perspective to directly link migration and fertility transitions. The analysis combines original qualitative and quantitative data collected in Durham/Chapel Hill, NC as well as national level information from the Current Population Survey. The qualitative data provides a person-centered approach to the connection between migration and fertility that we then extend in quantitative analyses. Results demonstrate that standard demographic measures that treat migration and fertility as separate processes considerably distort the childbearing experience of immigrant women, inflating fertility estimates for Hispanics as a whole. Once this connection is taken into consideration the fertility levels of Hispanic women are much lower than those reported with standard measures and the fertility-specific contribution of Hispanics to U.S. population growth is much reduced.
鉴于本土主义者对西班牙裔群体的反应日益强烈,本文系统地描述了移民与生育率之间的联系。我们采用生命历程视角,将移民与生育转变直接联系起来。该分析结合了在北卡罗来纳州达勒姆/教堂山收集的原始定性和定量数据,以及来自当前人口调查的全国层面信息。定性数据提供了一种以个人为中心的方法来研究移民与生育之间的联系,我们随后在定量分析中对其进行了扩展。结果表明,将移民和生育视为独立过程的标准人口统计方法,极大地扭曲了移民女性的生育经历,抬高了对整个西班牙裔群体的生育率估计。一旦考虑到这种联系,西班牙裔女性的生育率水平远低于采用标准方法所报告的水平,西班牙裔对美国人口增长的特定生育贡献也大幅降低。