DuPont, Wilmington, DE, USA.
Environ Toxicol Chem. 2013 Jan;32(1):13-9. doi: 10.1002/etc.2037.
This is the first of seven papers resulting from a Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (SETAC) international workshop titled "The Influence of Global Climate Change on the Scientific Foundations and Applications of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry." The workshop involved 36 scientists from 11 countries and was designed to answer the following question: How will global climate change influence the environmental impacts of chemicals and other stressors and the way we assess and manage them in the environment? While more detail is found in the complete series of articles, some key consensus points are as follows: (1) human actions (including mitigation of and adaptation to impacts of global climate change [GCC]) may have as much influence on the fate and distribution of chemical contaminants as does GCC, and modeled predictions should be interpreted cautiously; (2) climate change can affect the toxicity of chemicals, but chemicals can also affect how organisms acclimate to climate change; (3) effects of GCC may be slow, variable, and difficult to detect, though some populations and communities of high vulnerability may exhibit responses sooner and more dramatically than others; (4) future approaches to human and ecological risk assessments will need to incorporate multiple stressors and cumulative risks considering the wide spectrum of potential impacts stemming from GCC; and (5) baseline/reference conditions for estimating resource injury and restoration/rehabilitation will continually shift due to GCC and represent significant challenges to practitioners.
这是七篇论文中的第一篇,这些论文源于一个主题为“全球气候变化对环境毒理学和化学的科学基础和应用的影响”的毒理学会(SETAC)国际研讨会。该研讨会有来自 11 个国家的 36 名科学家参与,旨在回答以下问题:全球气候变化将如何影响化学品和其他压力因素对环境的影响,以及我们如何在环境中评估和管理它们?虽然完整的系列文章中有更详细的信息,但以下是一些关键的共识要点:(1)人类活动(包括缓解和适应全球气候变化的影响)对化学污染物的命运和分布的影响可能与全球气候变化一样大,因此应谨慎解释模型预测;(2)气候变化会影响化学品的毒性,但化学品也会影响生物对气候变化的适应能力;(3)GCC 的影响可能是缓慢的、多变的,难以察觉的,尽管一些脆弱性高的种群和群落可能比其他种群更早、更明显地表现出反应;(4)未来的人类和生态风险评估方法将需要综合考虑多种压力因素和累积风险,考虑到 GCC 可能产生的广泛潜在影响;(5)由于 GCC,估计资源损伤和恢复/修复的基线/参考条件将不断变化,这对从业人员来说是一个巨大的挑战。