Thomas David P, Ferguson Megan, Johnston Vanessa, Brimblecombe Julie
Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Australia.
Nicotine Tob Res. 2013 Jun;15(6):1099-106. doi: 10.1093/ntr/nts232. Epub 2012 Nov 19.
We sought to assess the impact of a 25% tax excise rise on tobacco sales in Aboriginal communities in remote Australia and to explore local perceptions about tobacco tax rises and their impact.
Tobacco sales data were collected from 18 stores in small remote Aboriginal communities from October 2009 to December 2010. Sales in the 7 months before and after the tax increase were compared. Interviews were conducted with 54 informants in 6 communities.
There was a nonsignificant 2.2% average reduction (95% CI = -5 to 10) in total tobacco sold in a store in the 7 months after the price increase compared with the 7 months before the price increase, with a large variation across the 18 stores. The magnitude of this apparent impact may have been reduced by seasonal effects. There were increased demands to share cigarettes, with a perception that there was increased reliance on those with more disposable income to purchase cigarettes for other smokers. The main reasons given for not quitting or reducing smoking were dependence, the normative nature of smoking, and the lack of support to quit. All Aboriginal interviewees supported price increases as important in reducing smoking.
The wide confidence interval around our estimated reduction in consumption means that the tax increase could have either been associated or not with a reduction in consumption. Future excise rises are supported but should be carefully monitored in Australian Indigenous populations.
我们试图评估消费税提高25%对澳大利亚偏远地区原住民社区烟草销售的影响,并探究当地人对烟草税提高及其影响的看法。
收集了2009年10月至2010年12月期间18家偏远小型原住民社区商店的烟草销售数据。比较了增税前后7个月的销售额。对6个社区的54名受访者进行了访谈。
与增税前提价前7个月相比,增税之后7个月内,商店销售的烟草总量平均下降了2.2%(95%置信区间=-5至10),差异无统计学意义,18家商店之间存在很大差异。这种明显影响的程度可能因季节效应而有所降低。共享香烟的需求增加,人们认为对那些有更多可支配收入的人依赖增加,由他们为其他吸烟者购买香烟。不戒烟或减少吸烟的主要原因是成瘾、吸烟的规范性以及缺乏戒烟支持。所有原住民受访者都支持提高价格对减少吸烟很重要。
我们估计的消费减少幅度的置信区间很宽,这意味着增税可能与消费减少有关,也可能无关。支持未来提高消费税,但对澳大利亚原住民应仔细监测。