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2009 年阿德莱德热浪期间直接与热相关的住院风险因素:病例交叉研究。

Risk factors for direct heat-related hospitalization during the 2009 Adelaide heatwave: a case crossover study.

机构信息

School of Population Health and Clinical Practice, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2013 Jan 1;442:1-5. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.10.042. Epub 2012 Nov 18.

Abstract

Adelaide experienced an extreme and prolonged 13 days heatwave in summer 2009. The health impacts of this heatwave included an almost 14-fold increase in direct heat-related hospital admissions. This study aims to investigate the risk factors for this extra health burden. A case crossover study was conducted in metropolitan Adelaide to compare the characteristics of patients from the heatwave (exposure) period and non-heatwave (control) periods before and after. Direct heat-related hospitalizations were identified based on the ICD-10 codes (X30, T67, and E86). Patients' data, including age, gender, indicators of health status, living conditions and socio-economic status, were collected from the South Australian Department of Health and patients' case-notes from seven major Adelaide hospitals. Multivariate logistic regression model was used to estimate the odd ratios (OR) and the 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results indicate that living at residential aged care (OR=0.41, 95% CI: 0.15-0.70) and having higher number of co-morbidities (OR=0.89, 95% CI: 0.83-0.95) reduced the risk of hospital admission for direct heat-related illnesses during the heatwave, while having renal problems (OR=1.72, 95% CI: 1.07-2.94), reporting a fall prior to hospitalization (OR=2.04, 95% CI: 1.10-3.77), receiving assistance from community (OR=2.31, 95% CI: 1.24-4.30), living alone (OR=2.41, 95% CI: 1.32-4.40), socio-economic disadvantage (OR=2.10, 95% CI: 1.09-4.04) and no private health insurance (OR=1.82, 95% CI: 1.05-3.16) increased the risk. In conclusion, the people most at risk during the 2009 heatwave in Adelaide were those who lived alone, received help from community services, with co-existing renal problems or a risk of falls, and with a lower socio-economic status. Findings will assist in refining heat-health response systems and developing intervention programmes.

摘要

阿德莱德在 2009 年夏季经历了一次极端且持续时间长的 13 天热浪。热浪对健康的影响包括直接与热有关的住院人数增加了近 14 倍。本研究旨在调查这一额外健康负担的风险因素。在阿德莱德大都市区进行了病例交叉研究,以比较热浪(暴露)期和非热浪(对照)期前后患者的特征。根据 ICD-10 代码(X30、T67 和 E86)确定直接与热有关的住院治疗。从南澳大利亚卫生部和七家主要阿德莱德医院的患者病历中收集了患者数据,包括年龄、性别、健康状况指标、生活条件和社会经济地位。使用多变量逻辑回归模型估计比值比(OR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。结果表明,居住在养老院(OR=0.41,95%CI:0.15-0.70)和患有更多合并症(OR=0.89,95%CI:0.83-0.95)降低了热浪期间直接与热有关的疾病住院的风险,而患有肾脏问题(OR=1.72,95%CI:1.07-2.94)、住院前报告跌倒(OR=2.04,95%CI:1.10-3.77)、接受社区援助(OR=2.31,95%CI:1.24-4.30)、独居(OR=2.41,95%CI:1.32-4.40)、社会经济劣势(OR=2.10,95%CI:1.09-4.04)和没有私人医疗保险(OR=1.82,95%CI:1.05-3.16)增加了风险。总之,在 2009 年阿德莱德热浪中风险最高的人群是独居、接受社区服务帮助、患有肾脏问题或有跌倒风险以及社会经济地位较低的人。研究结果将有助于完善热健康应对系统和制定干预方案。

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