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利用风险图将土地价值损害与风险联系起来,为棕地再开发提供灵活的风险管理依据。

Using risk maps to link land value damage and risk as basis of flexible risk management for brownfield redevelopment.

机构信息

Graduate Institute of Environmental Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.

出版信息

Chemosphere. 2013 Feb;90(7):2101-8. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2012.10.075. Epub 2012 Nov 22.

Abstract

Brownfield redevelopment involves numerous uncertain financial risks associated with market demand and land value. To reduce the uncertainty of the specific impact of land value and social costs, this study develops small-scale risk maps to determine the relationship between population risk (PR) and damaged land value (DLV) to facilitate flexible land reutilisation plans. This study used the spatial variability of exposure parameters in each village to develop the contaminated site-specific risk maps. In view of the combination of risk and cost, risk level that most affected land use was mainly 1.00×10(-6) to 1.00×10(-5) in this study area. Village 2 showed the potential for cost-effective conversion with contaminated land development. If the risk of remediation target was set at 5.00×10(-6), the DLV could be reduced by NT$15,005 million for the land developer. The land developer will consider the net benefit by quantifying the trade-off between the changes of land value and the cost of human health. In this study, small-scale risk maps can illuminate the economic incentive potential for contaminated site redevelopment through the adjustment of land value damage and human health risk.

摘要

棕地再开发涉及到与市场需求和土地价值相关的众多不确定的金融风险。为了降低土地价值和社会成本具体影响的不确定性,本研究制定了小规模风险图,以确定人口风险(PR)和受损土地价值(DLV)之间的关系,从而促进灵活的土地再利用计划。本研究利用每个村庄暴露参数的空间变异性来开发特定于污染场地的风险图。鉴于风险和成本的结合,在研究区域内,受影响土地利用的主要风险水平主要在 1.00×10(-6)到 1.00×10(-5)之间。2 号村显示出具有成本效益的污染土地开发转换的潜力。如果修复目标的风险设定为 5.00×10(-6),土地开发商可以减少 15 亿新台币的土地开发损失。土地开发商将通过量化土地价值变化和人类健康成本之间的权衡,考虑通过调整土地价值损害和人类健康风险来获得净收益。在本研究中,小规模风险图可以通过调整土地价值损失和人类健康风险来阐明污染场地再开发的经济激励潜力。

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