Highway Engineering Research Group (HERG), Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera, s/n, 46071 Valencia, Spain.
Accid Anal Prev. 2013 Dec;61:23-32. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2012.10.013. Epub 2012 Nov 22.
Urban road safety management is usually characterized by the lack of sufficient, good quality crash data and low budgets to obtain it even though many traffic accidents occur there. For example, 54 percent of road crashes in Spain take place in urban areas, and 10 percent of urban fatal crashes occur on crosstown roads, which are rural roads that traverse small communities. Traffic calming measures (TCMs) are often implemented on these parts of rural roads that traverse small communities in order to reduce both the frequency and severity of crashes by lowering speeds, but evaluation of their effectiveness has been limited. The objective of this study was to develop a methodology using continuous speed profiles to evaluate the safety effectiveness of TCMs on crosstown roads as part of an integrated system in the absence of historical data. Given the strong relationship between speed and crash experience, safety performance can be related to speed. Consequently, speed can be used indirectly as a surrogate safety measure in the absence of crash and speed data. Two indexes were defined in this study as surrogate safety measures based on the continuous speed profile: Ra and Ea. Ra represents the absolute accumulated speed variations relative to the average speed and is inversely related to accumulated speed uniformity; and Ea represents the accumulated speed variations above the speed limit and is directly related to accumulated speeding. Naturalistic data were collected using GPS trackers for 12 scenarios with different TCM spacings. Then, the indexes were applied to individual observed speed profiles (individual analysis) as well as the operating speed profile (global analysis). The values obtained from individual and global analysis were statistically different. Spacing lower than 110m, which was found optimal from previous research, did not allow drivers to modify their speeds as the accumulated speed uniformity was quite similar regardless of the average operating speed; and, accumulated speeding was also minimized. Consequently, the scenarios where the TCMs were implemented according to the technical criteria presented a better design quality. On the other hand, age and gender differences did not seem to affect the average speeds or the accumulated speed uniformity and accumulated speeding.
缺乏足够的高质量碰撞数据,并且预算有限,难以获取这些数据,而这些地区却经常发生许多交通事故。例如,西班牙有 54%的道路碰撞事故发生在城市地区,10%的城市致命碰撞事故发生在穿越小型社区的横向道路上,这些道路是穿过小型社区的农村道路。为了降低速度,从而降低事故的频率和严重程度,通常会在这些穿过小型社区的农村道路部分实施交通缓行措施(TCMs),但对其效果的评估一直受到限制。本研究的目的是开发一种使用连续速度剖面的方法,以评估 TCM 在作为综合系统一部分的横向道路上的安全效果,而无需历史数据。鉴于速度与碰撞经验之间存在很强的关系,安全性能可以与速度相关。因此,在没有碰撞和速度数据的情况下,可以间接使用速度作为替代安全措施。本研究定义了两个基于连续速度剖面的替代安全指标:Ra 和 Ea。Ra 代表相对于平均速度的绝对累积速度变化,与累积速度均匀性成反比;Ea 代表超过限速的累积速度变化,与累积超速成正比。使用 GPS 跟踪器收集了 12 种不同 TCM 间距场景的自然主义数据。然后,将这些指标应用于个体观测速度剖面(个体分析)和运行速度剖面(全局分析)。个体和全局分析得到的指标值存在统计学差异。低于 110m 的间距与之前的研究结果一致,被认为是最优的,因为无论平均运行速度如何,累积速度均匀性都非常相似,而且累积超速也最小化。因此,根据提出的技术标准实施 TCM 的场景具有更好的设计质量。另一方面,年龄和性别差异似乎不会影响平均速度、累积速度均匀性和累积超速。