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砷的低剂量风险评估:一种荟萃分析方法。

Low-dose risk assessment for arsenic: a meta-analysis approach.

作者信息

Begum Munni, Horowitz John, Hossain Md Irfan

机构信息

Ball State University, Muncie, IN, USA

Ball State University, Muncie, IN, USA.

出版信息

Asia Pac J Public Health. 2015 Mar;27(2):NP20-35. doi: 10.1177/1010539512466568. Epub 2012 Nov 27.

Abstract

We conducted a meta-analysis to explore dose-response relationships for bladder and lung cancers when people are chronically exposed to low doses of arsenic. We searched electronic databases for articles published through 2010. Ten studies on bladder cancer and ingested arsenic exposure and five studies on lung cancer and ingested arsenic exposure fit our selection criteria. We also investigate the sensitivity of the absolute risk of lung and bladder cancer under different underlying prevalence measures. Males have a higher risk of bladder cancer than do females at all maximum contamination levels. The absolute risk of bladder cancer and lung cancer from ingested arsenic correlates highly with smoking rates. For a maximum contamination level of 10 µg/L, we estimate that there are about 2.91 additional bladder cancer cases per 100,000 people and, considering studies since 2000, we estimate that there are about 4.51 additional lung cancer cases per 100,000 people.

摘要

我们进行了一项荟萃分析,以探究人们长期接触低剂量砷时,膀胱癌和肺癌的剂量反应关系。我们检索了电子数据库,查找截至2010年发表的文章。十项关于膀胱癌与摄入砷暴露的研究以及五项关于肺癌与摄入砷暴露的研究符合我们的选择标准。我们还研究了在不同潜在患病率测量方法下,肺癌和膀胱癌绝对风险的敏感性。在所有最大污染水平下,男性患膀胱癌的风险均高于女性。摄入砷导致的膀胱癌和肺癌绝对风险与吸烟率高度相关。对于最大污染水平为10微克/升的情况,我们估计每10万人中约有2.91例额外的膀胱癌病例,并且考虑到2000年以来的研究,我们估计每10万人中约有4.51例额外的肺癌病例。

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