Institute of Cybernetics at Tallinn University of Technology, Akadeemia tee 21, 12618 Tallinn, Estonia.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2013 Feb 15;67(1-2):121-9. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2012.11.025. Epub 2012 Dec 6.
The possibility of current-driven propagation of contaminants released along a major fairway polluting the Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) in the Gulf of Finland, the Baltic Sea, is examined using a 3D circulation model, a Lagrangian transport model and statistics. Not surprisingly, the number of hits to the MPA decreases almost linearly with its distance from the fairway. In addition, the potential pollution released during a ship accident with the pollutants carried by currents may affect MPAs at very large distances. Typically, a fairway section approximately 125 km long (covering about 1/3 of the approximate 400-km-long gulf) may serve as a source of pollution for each MPA. The largest MPA (in the Eastern Gulf of Finland) may receive pollution from an approximately 210-km-long section (covering about 1/2 of the entire length of the gulf). This information may be useful in assisting maritime management.
利用三维循环模型、拉格朗日输运模型和统计学，研究了沿主要航道释放的污染物在污染波罗的海芬兰湾海洋保护区（MPA）时可能发生的电流驱动传播的可能性。毫不奇怪，受航道影响的 MPA 受到的冲击次数几乎呈线性下降。此外，船舶事故期间释放的污染物和当前携带的污染物可能会在非常大的距离处影响 MPA。通常，大约 125 公里长的航道段（约占 400 公里长海湾的 1/3）可能是每个 MPA 的污染源。最大的 MPA（在芬兰湾东部）可能会受到大约 210 公里长的航道段（约占整个海湾长度的 1/2）的污染。这些信息可能有助于协助海上管理。
