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自闭症出生和诊断的空间聚集指向了患病率增加的背景驱动因素。

Spatial clusters of autism births and diagnoses point to contextual drivers of increased prevalence.

机构信息

Australian Primary Health Care Research Institute, Australian National University, Level 1, Ian Potter House, Cnr Marcus Clarke and Gordon Streets, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia.

出版信息

Soc Sci Med. 2013 Oct;95:87-96. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2012.11.032. Epub 2012 Dec 8.

Abstract

Autism prevalence has risen dramatically over the past two decades in California. Although often suggested to have been crucial to the rise of autism, environmental and social contextual drivers of diagnosis have not been extensively examined. Identifying the spatial patterning of autism cases at birth and at diagnosis can help clarify which contextual drivers are affecting autism's rising prevalence. Children with autism not co-morbid with mental retardation served by the California Department of Developmental Services during the period 1992-2005 were matched to California's Birth Master Files. We search for spatial clusters of autism at time of birth and at time of diagnosis using a spatial scan approach that controls for key individual-level risk factors. We then test whether indicators of neighborhood-level diagnostic resources are associated with the diagnostic clusters and assess the extent of clustering by autism symptom severity through a multivariate scan. Finally, we test whether children who move into neighborhoods with higher levels of resources are more likely to receive an autism diagnosis relative to those who do not move with regard to resources. Significant birth and diagnostic clusters of autism are observed independent of key individual-level risk factors. While the clusters overlap, there is a strong positive association between the diagnostic clusters and neighborhood-level diagnostic resources. In addition, children with autism who are higher functioning are more likely to be diagnosed within a cluster than children with autism who are lower functioning. Most importantly, children who move into a neighborhood with more diagnostic resources than their previous residence are more likely to subsequently receive an autism diagnosis than children whose neighborhood resources do not change. We identify birth and diagnostic clusters of autism in California that are independent of individual-level autism risk factors. Our findings implicate a causal relationship between neighborhood-level diagnostic resources and spatial patterns of autism incidence but do not rule out the possibility that environmental toxicants have also contributed to autism risk.

摘要

自闭症在过去二十年中在加利福尼亚州急剧上升。尽管环境和社会背景因素被认为是自闭症发病率上升的关键因素,但对这些因素的诊断作用尚未得到广泛研究。确定自闭症病例在出生时和诊断时的空间分布模式有助于阐明哪些环境驱动因素正在影响自闭症发病率的上升。在 1992 年至 2005 年期间,由加利福尼亚州发育服务部提供服务且未与智力迟钝共病的自闭症儿童与加利福尼亚州出生主文件相匹配。我们使用空间扫描方法,在控制关键个体风险因素的情况下,搜索自闭症病例在出生时和诊断时的空间聚类。然后,我们测试了邻里级诊断资源指标是否与诊断聚类相关,并通过多元扫描评估了自闭症症状严重程度聚类的程度。最后,我们测试了相对于那些没有迁移资源的儿童,那些迁移到资源水平较高的邻里的儿童是否更有可能获得自闭症诊断。在独立于关键个体风险因素的情况下,观察到自闭症在出生和诊断时的显著聚类。虽然聚类重叠,但诊断聚类与邻里级诊断资源之间存在很强的正相关。此外,与功能较低的自闭症儿童相比,功能较高的自闭症儿童更有可能在聚类中被诊断出来。最重要的是,与那些邻里资源没有变化的儿童相比,那些迁移到邻里资源比以前居住地更多的儿童更有可能随后被诊断出患有自闭症。我们确定了加利福尼亚州自闭症的出生和诊断聚类,这些聚类与个体自闭症风险因素无关。我们的研究结果表明,邻里级诊断资源与自闭症发病率的空间模式之间存在因果关系,但不能排除环境毒物也可能增加自闭症风险的可能性。

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