Columbia University, New York, New York 10027, USA.
AJS. 2010 Mar;115(5):1387-434. doi: 10.1086/651448.
Despite a plethora of studies, we do not know why autism incidence has increased rapidly over the past two decades. Using California data, this study shows that children living very close to a child previously diagnosed with autism are more likely to be diagnosed with autism. An underlying social influence mechanism involving information diffusion drives this result, contributing to 16% of the increase in prevalence over 2000-2005. We eliminate competing explanations (i.e., residential sorting, environmental toxicants, and viral transmission) through seven tests and show that information diffusion simultaneously contributed to the increased prevalence, spatial clustering, and decreasing age of diagnosis.
尽管有大量研究,但我们仍不清楚自闭症发病率为何在过去二十年中迅速上升。本研究利用加利福尼亚州的数据表明,与曾被诊断患有自闭症的儿童居住非常近的儿童更有可能被诊断为自闭症。一种潜在的社交影响机制,涉及信息传播,推动了这一结果,导致 2000 年至 2005 年期间患病率上升了 16%。我们通过七项测试消除了竞争解释(即居住选择、环境毒素和病毒传播),并表明信息传播同时导致了患病率、空间聚集和诊断年龄的下降。