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价格能让我们摆脱困境吗?对非法药物需求的一项荟萃分析。

Can price get the monkey off our back? A meta-analysis of illicit drug demand.

作者信息

Gallet Craig A

机构信息

California State University at Sacramento, Sacramento, CA, USA.

出版信息

Health Econ. 2014 Jan;23(1):55-68. doi: 10.1002/hec.2902. Epub 2013 Jan 10.

Abstract

Because of the increased availability of price data over the past 15 years, several studies have estimated the demand for illicit drugs, providing 462 estimates of the price elasticity. Results from estimating several meta-regressions reveal that these price elasticity estimates are influenced by a number of study characteristics. For instance, the price elasticity differs across drugs, with its absolute value being smallest for marijuana, compared with cocaine and heroin. Furthermore, price elasticity estimates are sensitive to whether demand is modeled in the short-run or the long-run, measures of quantity and price, whether or not alcohol and other illicit drugs are included in the specification of demand, and the location of demand. However, a number of other factors, including the functional form of demand, several specification issues, the type of data and method used to estimate demand, and the quality of the publication outlet, have less influence on the price elasticity.

摘要

由于在过去15年中价格数据的可得性有所提高,一些研究对非法药物的需求进行了估计,提供了462个价格弹性估计值。对若干元回归进行估计的结果表明,这些价格弹性估计值受到许多研究特征的影响。例如,不同毒品的价格弹性有所不同,与可卡因和海洛因相比,大麻的价格弹性绝对值最小。此外,价格弹性估计值对需求是在短期还是长期进行建模、数量和价格的度量、需求规格中是否包括酒精和其他非法药物以及需求地点敏感。然而,许多其他因素,包括需求的函数形式、若干规格问题、用于估计需求的数据类型和方法以及出版渠道的质量,对价格弹性的影响较小。

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