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超越全球变化:来自 25 年 CO2 研究的启示。

Beyond global change: lessons from 25 years of CO2 research.

机构信息

School of Applied Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland 1142, New Zealand.

出版信息

Oecologia. 2013 Mar;171(3):639-51. doi: 10.1007/s00442-012-2584-5. Epub 2013 Jan 10.

Abstract

Over the past 25 years, countless experiments have been conducted on the impact of increased atmospheric CO2 concentration on various plants and ecosystems. While this research was motivated to better understand and predict how rising CO2 will affect the structure and function of ecosystems in the future, it also shed light on some general, CO2-research independent, aspects in ecological research. Interestingly, it is these general aspects that continue to create confusion and lead to misinterpretation. Here, we focus on seven interrelated key issues including (1) the confusion between fluxes and pools, (2) the stoichiometric aspects of growth and biomass production, (3) resource allocation within organisms, (4) data scaling and the choice of a reference metric, (5) the consideration of time and timing (experimental duration, ontogenetic shifts), (6) confounding and second-order (indirect or feedback) effects, and (7) the key role of biodiversity. The principles deriving from addressing these issues relate strongly to each other. Their concurrent consideration requires experimenters and modellers to likewise maintain a broad, holistic perspective. In this synthesis, we attempt to show how appropriate consideration of these principles can greatly enhance the assessment of the validity, plausibility and generality of experimental and modelling results. We conclude that neglecting to adequately address these key issues in ecological research may lead to overestimations of measured responses and/or simplistic interpretations. Our examples mostly originate from research on plant responses to elevated atmospheric CO2, but are also applicable to other areas of ecological research. We provide a checklist for the planning of ecological field experiments and the interpretation of their results that may help in avoiding common pitfalls.

摘要

在过去的 25 年中,已经进行了无数实验来研究大气中二氧化碳浓度增加对各种植物和生态系统的影响。虽然这项研究的目的是更好地了解和预测未来二氧化碳增加将如何影响生态系统的结构和功能,但它也揭示了一些关于生态研究的一般性、与二氧化碳研究无关的方面。有趣的是,正是这些一般性的方面继续引起混淆,并导致误解。在这里,我们重点关注七个相互关联的关键问题,包括(1)通量和库之间的混淆,(2)生长和生物量生产的化学计量方面,(3)生物体内部的资源分配,(4)数据比例和参考指标的选择,(5)时间和时机的考虑(实验持续时间、个体发育变化),(6)混杂和二阶(间接或反馈)效应,以及(7)生物多样性的关键作用。解决这些问题所产生的原则彼此之间有着紧密的联系。同时考虑这些原则要求实验者和建模者也要保持广泛的、整体的视角。在本综述中,我们试图展示如何恰当地考虑这些原则可以极大地提高对实验和建模结果的有效性、合理性和普遍性的评估。我们得出的结论是,在生态研究中忽略充分解决这些关键问题可能导致对测量响应的高估和/或过于简单的解释。我们的例子主要来自于对植物对大气二氧化碳升高的响应的研究,但也适用于生态研究的其他领域。我们为生态野外实验的规划和结果的解释提供了一份清单,这可能有助于避免常见的陷阱。

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