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2004 年海啸的社会经济后果:对自然灾害管理政策的启示。

Socioeconomic consequences of the 2004 tsunami: policy implications for natural disaster management.

机构信息

Centre for Population Health (CePH), Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya, Malaysia.

出版信息

Prev Med. 2013;57 Suppl:S74-6. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2012.12.024. Epub 2013 Jan 8.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study is to assess the socioeconomic status of the households affected by the tsunami of 2004 & to determine the factors associated with the recovery of household economic status.

METHODS

The study was conducted in tsunami-affected areas in Malaysia in 2010-2011. A total of 193 households were included in the survey. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the factors related to the recovery of households' economic status.

FINDINGS

Among 193 households, 37% were in a better condition, 40% were unchanged and 22% had not recovered. It took 2.2 years to get back to pre-disaster economic status. Factors leading to successful household economic recovery were "household resided in Sungai Petani", "belong to highest income quartile" and "age of household head". In contrast, "extended family type" and "unemployed household head" reduced the odds of recovery. Households which lost their fishing boats during the tsunami had less chance to recover their previous status.

CONCLUSION

The findings of our study would be useful for policy consideration and planning of post disaster management in order to enhance the recovery of household economic status in the short period.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估受 2004 年海啸影响的家庭的社会经济地位,并确定与家庭经济状况恢复相关的因素。

方法

本研究于 2010 年至 2011 年在马来西亚受海啸影响的地区进行。共调查了 193 户家庭。采用多变量逻辑回归分析确定与家庭经济状况恢复相关的因素。

结果

在 193 户家庭中,37%的家庭状况较好,40%的家庭状况不变,22%的家庭尚未恢复。恢复到灾前经济状况需要 2.2 年的时间。导致家庭经济成功恢复的因素包括“家庭居住在双溪大年”、“属于最高收入四分位”和“家庭户主年龄”。相比之下,“大家庭类型”和“家庭户主失业”降低了恢复的可能性。在海啸中失去渔船的家庭恢复到以前的地位的机会较少。

结论

本研究结果可用于政策考虑和灾后管理规划,以在短期内增强家庭经济状况的恢复。

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