The Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Scand J Prim Health Care. 2013 Mar;31(1):7-12. doi: 10.3109/02813432.2012.754092. Epub 2013 Jan 17.
To investigate the prognostic value of subjective memory complaints for all-cause mortality in order to determine whether elderly persons with subjective memory complaints may be regarded as a group of vulnerable patients who need close follow-up.
Prospective cohort study. Setting. Primary care units in the central district of Copenhagen, Denmark.
758 community-dwellers aged 65 years and older consulting their general practitioner in October and November 2002.
Information on subjective memory complaints, socio-demographics, and health-related quality of life were collected at the enrolment primary care consultation. Dates of death from all causes occurring during the four-year follow-up were retrieved from the national databases. Cox proportional hazard regression models on time to death (censored after four years) were used to examine the influence of subjective memory complaints on all-cause mortality.
88 patients died during the four-year follow-up. The association between subjective memory complaints and mortality had a statistically not significant hazard ratio (HR) of 0.91, adjusting for known confounders. Statistically significant predictors for mortality were Age (HR = 1.43 for 75-84 years and HR = 3.39 for 85 + years), Sex (HR = 0.51 for women), Mobility (HR = 2.39 for some problems), Self-care (HR = 2.34 for some problems) and Comorbidity (HR = 2.06, 3.19 and 5.89 for a Charlson comorbidity index of 1, 2, or ≥ 3 respectively).
In an elderly population presenting for primary care the presence of subjective memory complaints was not significantly associated with an increase in all-cause mortality.
探讨主观记忆主诉对全因死亡率的预后价值,以确定是否可以将有主观记忆主诉的老年人视为一组需要密切随访的脆弱患者。
前瞻性队列研究。地点。丹麦哥本哈根中心区的初级保健单位。
2002 年 10 月和 11 月咨询全科医生的 758 名 65 岁及以上的社区居民。
在登记的初级保健咨询时收集有关主观记忆主诉、社会人口统计学和与健康相关的生活质量信息。在四年随访期间发生的所有原因死亡的日期从国家数据库中检索。使用 Cox 比例风险回归模型对死亡时间(四年后截尾)进行分析,以检验主观记忆主诉对全因死亡率的影响。
在四年的随访期间,有 88 名患者死亡。在调整了已知混杂因素后,主观记忆主诉与死亡率之间的关联具有统计学上无显著意义的危险比(HR)为 0.91。死亡率的统计学显著预测因素包括年龄(75-84 岁 HR = 1.43,85 岁及以上 HR = 3.39)、性别(HR = 0.51,女性)、活动能力(HR = 2.39,有一些问题)、自我护理(HR = 2.34,有一些问题)和合并症(HR = 2.06、3.19 和 5.89,Charlson 合并症指数分别为 1、2 和≥3)。
在因初级保健就诊的老年人群中,主观记忆主诉的存在与全因死亡率的增加无显著相关性。