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术后昏迷的发生率、预测因素和结局:858606 例患者的观察性研究。

Incidence, predictors and outcomes of postoperative coma: an observational study of 858,606 patients.

机构信息

University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

出版信息

Eur J Anaesthesiol. 2013 Aug;30(8):476-82. doi: 10.1097/EJA.0b013e32835dcc62.

DOI:10.1097/EJA.0b013e32835dcc62
PMID:23344122
Abstract

CONTEXT

Coma is a state of profound unresponsiveness that can occur as a serious perioperative complication. The study of risk factors for, and sequelae of, postoperative coma has been limited due to the rarity of the event.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence, risk factors and impact of postoperative coma in a large patient population.

DESIGN

Observational study using a prospectively gathered national dataset.

PATIENTS

Data from 858 606 patients were analysed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The incidence of postoperative coma of more than 24-h duration was identified. Logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors and develop a risk model of postoperative coma in derivation and validation cohorts; 30-day mortality was also analysed.

RESULTS

The incidence of postoperative coma was 0.06%. Multivariate analysis revealed the following independent predictors: liver disease, systemic sepsis, age at least 63 years, renal disease, emergency operation, cardiac disease, hypertension, prior neurological disease, diabetes mellitus and BMI 25 to 29.99 kg m (protective). These predictors were incorporated into a risk index classification; odds ratios for postoperative coma increased from 2.5 with one risk factor to 18.4 with three. Coma was associated with 74.2% all-cause mortality; coma associated with cardiac arrest had a 1.9-fold higher mortality.

CONCLUSION

This is the largest study of postoperative coma ever reported and will be useful for determining risk of coma of more than 24 h duration when evaluating an unresponsive patient following surgery. Data on prognosis will aid medical and ethical decision-making for the comatose surgical patient.

摘要

背景

昏迷是一种严重的围手术期并发症,表现为深度无反应状态。由于术后昏迷事件罕见,因此对其危险因素和后果的研究受到限制。

目的

在大量患者人群中确定术后昏迷的发生率、危险因素和影响。

设计

使用前瞻性收集的全国性数据集进行观察性研究。

患者

分析了 858606 名患者的数据。

主要观察指标

确定持续时间超过 24 小时的术后昏迷的发生率。使用逻辑回归识别独立预测因素,并在推导和验证队列中开发术后昏迷风险模型;还分析了 30 天死亡率。

结果

术后昏迷的发生率为 0.06%。多变量分析显示以下独立预测因素:肝脏疾病、全身败血症、年龄至少 63 岁、肾脏疾病、急诊手术、心脏疾病、高血压、既往神经系统疾病、糖尿病和 BMI 25 至 29.99kg/m²(保护因素)。这些预测因素被纳入风险指数分类;术后昏迷的比值比从有一个危险因素时的 2.5 增加到有三个危险因素时的 18.4。昏迷与全因死亡率 74.2%相关;与心搏骤停相关的昏迷死亡率高 1.9 倍。

结论

这是迄今为止关于术后昏迷的最大研究,在评估手术后无反应患者时,有助于确定持续时间超过 24 小时的昏迷风险。预后数据将有助于昏迷手术患者的医疗和伦理决策。

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