Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX 75390-9169, USA.
Cancer Causes Control. 2013 May;24(5):961-77. doi: 10.1007/s10552-013-0172-6. Epub 2013 Feb 28.
Using 1998-2005 SEER-Medicare data, we examined the effect of diagnostic and treatment delays on all-cause and colorectal cancer (CRC)-specific death among US adults aged ≥ 66 years with invasive colon or rectal cancer. We hypothesized that longer delays would be associated with a greater risk of death.
We defined diagnostic and treatment delays, respectively, as days between (1) initial medical consult for CRC symptoms and pathologically confirmed diagnosis (maximum: 365 days) and (2) pathologically confirmed diagnosis and treatment (maximum: 120 days). Cases (CRC deaths) and controls (deaths due to other causes or censored) were matched on survival time. Logistic regression analyses adjusted for sociodemographic, tumor, and treatment factors.
Median diagnostic delays were 60 (colon) and 40 (rectal) days and treatment delays were 13 (colon) and 16 (rectal) days in 10,663 patients. Colon cancer patients with the longest diagnostic delays (8-12 months vs. 14-59 days) had higher odds of all-cause (aOR: 1.31 CI: 1.08-1.58), but not CRC-specific death. Colon cancer patients with the shortest treatment delays (<1 vs. 1-2 weeks) had higher odds of all-cause (aOR: 1.23 CI: 1.01-1.49), but not CRC-specific death. Among rectal cancer patients, delays were not associated with risk of all-cause or CRC-specific death.
Longer delays of up to 1 year after symptom onset and 120 days for treatment did not increase odds of CRC-specific death. There may be little clinical benefit in detecting and treating existing symptomatic disease earlier. Screening prior to symptom onset must remain the primary goal to reduce CRC incidence, morbidity, and mortality.
利用 1998 年至 2005 年 SEER-医疗保险数据,我们研究了美国≥66 岁患有浸润性结肠癌或直肠癌的成年人中,诊断和治疗延迟对全因和结直肠癌特异性死亡的影响。我们假设,更长的延迟与更高的死亡风险相关。
我们分别将诊断和治疗延迟定义为:(1)首次出现结直肠癌症状与经病理证实的诊断之间的天数(最长:365 天)和(2)经病理证实的诊断与治疗之间的天数(最长:120 天)。病例(结直肠癌死亡)和对照(其他原因死亡或删失)按生存时间匹配。逻辑回归分析调整了社会人口统计学、肿瘤和治疗因素。
在 10663 例患者中,结肠癌患者的中位诊断延迟为 60 天(结肠)和 40 天(直肠),治疗延迟为 13 天(结肠)和 16 天(直肠)。最长诊断延迟(8-12 个月比 14-59 天)的结肠癌患者全因死亡的可能性更高(优势比[aOR]:1.31,95%置信区间[CI]:1.08-1.58),但结直肠癌特异性死亡的可能性没有增加。最短治疗延迟(<1 周比 1-2 周)的结肠癌患者全因死亡的可能性更高(aOR:1.23,95%CI:1.01-1.49),但结直肠癌特异性死亡的可能性没有增加。在直肠癌患者中,延迟与全因或结直肠癌特异性死亡的风险无关。
症状出现后长达 1 年的延迟和治疗后 120 天的延迟并不会增加结直肠癌特异性死亡的几率。早期发现和治疗现有症状性疾病可能没有什么临床益处。在症状出现之前进行筛查仍然是降低结直肠癌发病率、发病率和死亡率的主要目标。