Sanjay Basu is with the Department of Medicine, Prevention Research Center and Centers for Health Policy, Primary Care and Outcomes Research, Stanford University, Stanford, CA. Martin McKee is with the Department of Public Health and Policy and the European Center for Health of Societies in Transition at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Gauden Galea is with the Division of Noncommunicable Diseases and Health Promotion, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland. David Stuckler is with the Department of Sociology, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK.
Am J Public Health. 2013 Nov;103(11):2071-7. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2012.300974. Epub 2013 Mar 14.
We estimated the relationship between soft drink consumption and obesity and diabetes worldwide.
We used multivariate linear regression to estimate the association between soft drink consumption and overweight, obesity, and diabetes prevalence in 75 countries, controlling for other foods (cereals, meats, fruits and vegetables, oils, and total calories), income, urbanization, and aging. Data were obtained from the Euromonitor Global Market Information Database, the World Health Organization, and the International Diabetes Federation. Bottled water consumption, which increased with per-capita income in parallel to soft drink consumption, served as a natural control group.
Soft drink consumption increased globally from 9.5 gallons per person per year in 1997 to 11.4 gallons in 2010. A 1% rise in soft drink consumption was associated with an additional 4.8 overweight adults per 100 (adjusted B; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.1, 6.5), 2.3 obese adults per 100 (95% CI = 1.1, 3.5), and 0.3 adults with diabetes per 100 (95% CI = 0.1, 0.8). These findings remained robust in low- and middle-income countries.
Soft drink consumption is significantly linked to overweight, obesity, and diabetes worldwide, including in low- and middle-income countries.
我们评估了全球范围内软饮料消费与肥胖和糖尿病之间的关系。
我们使用多元线性回归来估计 75 个国家软饮料消费与超重、肥胖和糖尿病患病率之间的关联,同时控制其他食物(谷物、肉类、水果和蔬菜、油和总卡路里)、收入、城市化和老龄化等因素。数据来自 Euromonitor 全球市场信息数据库、世界卫生组织和国际糖尿病联合会。瓶装水消费与软饮料消费呈平行增长,随着人均收入的增加而增加,可作为自然对照组。
全球软饮料消费量从 1997 年的每人每年 9.5 加仑增加到 2010 年的 11.4 加仑。软饮料消费每增加 1%,就会额外增加 4.8 名超重成年人(调整后的 B;95%置信区间[CI] = 3.1, 6.5)、2.3 名肥胖成年人(95%CI = 1.1, 3.5)和 0.3 名糖尿病成年人(95%CI = 0.1, 0.8)。这些发现即使在低收入和中等收入国家也仍然成立。
软饮料消费与全球范围内的超重、肥胖和糖尿病显著相关,包括在低收入和中等收入国家。