Laboratory of Epidemiology, Demography and Biometry, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2013 Apr 1;177(7):708-17. doi: 10.1093/aje/kws288. Epub 2013 Mar 13.
Relative survival is the standard measure of excess mortality due to cancer in population-based cancer survival studies. In relative survival analysis, the observed hazard for cancer patients is the sum of the expected hazard for the general cancer-free population and the excess hazard associated with a cancer diagnosis. Previous models for relative survival analysis have assumed that the excess hazard rate is related to covariates by additive or multiplicative regression models. In this paper, a transformation covariate regression model is developed for estimation of the excess hazard rate, which includes both the additive and the multiplicative regression models as special cases. The baseline excess hazard rate and time-dependent hazard ratios can be approximated by means of regression splines, and the parameter estimates can be obtained using a standard statistical package. As is demonstrated through simulation, the proposed transformation hazards model provides a reasonably good fit to typical relative survival data. For illustration purposes, the sex difference in relative survival for lung and bronchus cancer patients is examined using data from population-based cancer registries (1973-2003).
相对生存率是基于人群的癌症生存研究中衡量癌症导致超额死亡率的标准方法。在相对生存率分析中,观察到的癌症患者的风险是一般无癌症人群的预期风险与癌症诊断相关的超额风险之和。以前的相对生存率分析模型假设超额风险率与协变量之间的关系是通过加法或乘法回归模型来表示的。本文提出了一种转换协变量回归模型,用于估计超额风险率,该模型包括加法和乘法回归模型作为特例。通过回归样条可以近似估计基线超额风险率和时变风险比,并且可以使用标准统计软件包来获得参数估计。通过模拟表明,所提出的转换风险模型可以很好地拟合典型的相对生存率数据。为了说明问题,本文使用基于人群的癌症登记数据(1973-2003 年),研究了肺癌和支气管癌患者的相对生存率的性别差异。