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尼泊尔 2008-2011 年因蓄意爆炸导致的死亡和非致命伤害:监测数据分析。

Fatal and non-fatal injuries due to intentional explosions in Nepal, 2008-2011: analysis of surveillance data.

机构信息

International Emergency and Refugee Health Branch, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Hwy, MS F-60, Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA.

出版信息

Confl Health. 2013 Mar 20;7(1):5. doi: 10.1186/1752-1505-7-5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Nepal is one of the post-conflict countries affected by violence from explosive devices. We undertook this study to assess the magnitude of injuries due to intentional explosions in Nepal during 2008-2011 and to describe time trends and epidemiologic patterns for these events.

METHODS

We analyzed surveillance data on fatal and non-fatal injuries due to intentional explosions in Nepal that occurred between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2011. The case definition included casualties injured or killed by explosive devices knowingly activated by an individual or a group of individuals with the intent to harm, hurt or terrorize. Data were collected through media-based and active community-based surveillance.

RESULTS

Analysis included 437 casualties injured or killed in 131 intentional explosion incidents. A decrease in the number of incidents and casualties between January 2008 and June 2009 was followed by a pronounced increase between July 2010 and June 2011. Eighty-four (19.2%) casualties were among females and 40 (9.2%) were among children under 18 years of age. Fifty-nine (45.3%) incidents involved one casualty, 47 (35.9%) involved 2 to 4 casualties, and 6 involved more than 10 casualties. The overall case-fatality ratio was 7.8%. The highest numbers of incidents occurred in streets or at crossroads, in victims' homes, and in shops or markets. Incidents on buses and near stadiums claimed the highest numbers of casualties per incident. Socket, sutali, and pressure cooker bombs caused the highest numbers of incidents.

CONCLUSIONS

Intentional explosion incidents still pose a threat to the civilian population of Nepal. Most incidents are caused by small homemade explosive devices and occur in public places, and males aged 20 to 39 account for a plurality of casualties. Stakeholders addressing the explosive device problem in Nepal should continue to use surveillance data to plan interventions.

摘要

背景

尼泊尔是受冲突后暴力影响的国家之一,这些暴力源自爆炸装置。我们开展了此项研究,以评估 2008 年至 2011 年期间尼泊尔境内因蓄意爆炸导致的伤害程度,并描述此类事件的时间趋势和流行病学模式。

方法

我们分析了 2008 年 1 月 1 日至 2011 年 12 月 31 日期间在尼泊尔境内发生的、与蓄意爆炸有关的致命和非致命伤害监测数据。该病例定义包括因个人或个人群体有意激活爆炸装置而受伤或死亡的人员,这些人员意图伤害、伤害或恐吓他人。数据通过媒体和基于社区的主动监测收集。

结果

分析纳入了 131 起蓄意爆炸事件中 437 名受伤或死亡的人员。2008 年 1 月至 2009 年 6 月期间,事件和伤亡人数有所下降,之后在 2010 年 7 月至 2011 年 6 月期间显著增加。84 名(19.2%)伤员为女性,40 名(9.2%)为 18 岁以下儿童。59 起(45.3%)事件涉及 1 名伤员,47 起(35.9%)涉及 2 至 4 名伤员,6 起涉及 10 名以上伤员。总体病死率为 7.8%。发生事件最多的地点是街道或十字路口、受害者的家中以及商店或市场。公共汽车和体育场附近的事件造成的伤亡人数最多。炮弹、苏塔利和高压锅炸弹造成的事件最多。

结论

蓄意爆炸事件仍然对尼泊尔平民构成威胁。多数事件是由自制小型爆炸装置引起的,发生在公共场所,20 至 39 岁的男性占多数伤亡人员。在尼泊尔处理爆炸装置问题的利益攸关方应继续使用监测数据来规划干预措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b197/3606620/911c522cc278/1752-1505-7-5-1.jpg

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