Epidemiology and Biostatistics Unit, INRS-Institut Armand-Frappier, Université du Québec, Laval, Québec, Canada.
Occup Environ Med. 2013 Jul;70(7):511-8. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2012-101211. Epub 2013 Mar 26.
There is a paucity of information on environmental risk factors for prostate cancer. We conducted a case-control study in Montreal to estimate associations with exposure to ground-level nitrogen dioxide (NO2), a marker for traffic-related air pollution.
Cases were 803 men with incident prostate cancer, ≤75 years of age, and diagnosed across all French hospitals in Montreal. Concurrently, 969 controls were drawn from electoral lists of French-speaking individuals residing in the same electoral districts as the cases and frequency-matched by age. Concentrations of NO2 were measured across Montreal in 2005-2006. We developed a land use regression model to predict concentrations of NO2 across Montreal for 2006. These estimates were back-extrapolated to 1996. Estimates were linked to residential addresses at the time of diagnosis or interview. Unconditional logistic regression was used, adjusting for potential confounding variables.
For each increase of 5 parts per billion of NO2, as estimated from the original land use regression model in 2006, the OR5ppb adjusted for personal factors was 1.44 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.73). Adding in contextual factors attenuated the OR5ppb to 1.27 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.58). One method for back-extrapolating concentrations of NO2 to 1996 (about 10 years before the index date) gave the following OR5ppb: 1.41 (95% CI 1.24 to 1.62) when personal factors were included, and 1.30 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.52) when contextual factors were added.
Exposure to ambient concentrations of NO2 at the current address was associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer. This novel finding requires replication.
有关前列腺癌的环境危险因素的信息很少。我们在蒙特利尔进行了一项病例对照研究,以估计与地面二氧化氮(NO2)暴露的关联,NO2 是与交通相关的空气污染的标志物。
病例为 803 名年龄≤75 岁、在蒙特利尔所有法语医院诊断出的前列腺癌新发病例。同时,从与病例相同的选区的法语居民的选举名单中抽取了 969 名对照,并按年龄进行频数匹配。2005-2006 年在蒙特利尔各地测量了 NO2 浓度。我们开发了一个土地利用回归模型,以预测 2006 年蒙特利尔的 NO2 浓度。这些估计值被回溯外推到 1996 年。估计值与诊断或访谈时的居住地址相关联。使用非条件逻辑回归,调整了潜在的混杂因素。
根据原始土地利用回归模型,2006 年估计每增加 5 个十亿分之五的 NO2,调整个人因素后的 OR5ppb 为 1.44(95%CI 1.21-1.73)。加入背景因素后,OR5ppb 减弱为 1.27(95%CI 1.03-1.58)。一种将 NO2 浓度回溯到 1996 年(大约在指数日期前 10 年)的方法得出以下 OR5ppb:当包括个人因素时为 1.41(95%CI 1.24-1.62),当加入背景因素时为 1.30(95%CI 1.11-1.52)。
当前地址的环境 NO2 浓度暴露与前列腺癌风险增加有关。这一新颖的发现需要复制。