Turku PET Centre, University of Turku and Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2013 May;28(5):405-16. doi: 10.1007/s10654-013-9794-y. Epub 2013 Mar 27.
Cardiovascular risk factors increase the risk of dementia in later life. The aims of the current study were to assess the effect of multiple midlife cardiovascular risk factors on the risk of cognitive impairment in later life, and to assess the validity of the previously suggested CAIDE Study risk score predicting dementia risk 20 years later. A total of 2,165 Finnish twins were followed and at the end of the follow-up their cognitive status was assessed with a validated telephone interview. The assessment of the risk factors at baseline was based on a self-report questionnaire. Relative risk ratios (RR) were calculated and receiver operating characteristic analyses performed. Midlife obesity (RR 2.42, 95 % CI 1.47-3.98), hypertension (RR 1.38, 95 % CI 1.01-1.88) and low leisure time physical activity (RR 2.52, 95 % CI 1.10-5.76) increased the risk of cognitive impairment after a mean follow-up of 22.6 ± 2.3 years. Hypercholesterolemia did not significantly increase the risk (RR 1.52, 95 % CI 0.92-2.51). Overweight individuals who gained more than 10 % weight between 1981 and 1990 had an increased risk of cognitive impairment (RR 4.27, 95 % CI 1.62-11.2). The CAIDE Study risk score combining various individual risk factors had an area-under-curve of 0.74 (95 % CI 0.69-0.79, n = 591), and there was a strong association between an increasing risk score and the risk of cognitive impairment. The results indicate that multiple midlife cardiovascular risk factors increase the risk of cognitive impairment in later life. Also, a risk score including easily measurable midlife factors predicts an individual's cognitive impairment risk well.
心血管危险因素会增加晚年患痴呆症的风险。本研究旨在评估多种中年心血管危险因素对晚年认知障碍风险的影响,并评估之前提出的 CAIDE 研究风险评分预测 20 年后痴呆风险的有效性。共有 2165 对芬兰双胞胎接受了随访,随访结束时,他们的认知状态通过经过验证的电话访谈进行了评估。基线时危险因素的评估基于自我报告问卷。计算了相对风险比(RR)并进行了受试者工作特征分析。中年肥胖(RR 2.42,95%CI 1.47-3.98)、高血压(RR 1.38,95%CI 1.01-1.88)和低休闲时间体力活动(RR 2.52,95%CI 1.10-5.76)会增加平均随访 22.6±2.3 年后认知障碍的风险。高胆固醇血症并未显著增加风险(RR 1.52,95%CI 0.92-2.51)。1981 年至 1990 年间体重增加超过 10%的超重个体认知障碍的风险增加(RR 4.27,95%CI 1.62-11.2)。结合各种个体危险因素的 CAIDE 研究风险评分的曲线下面积为 0.74(95%CI 0.69-0.79,n=591),风险评分的增加与认知障碍的风险之间存在很强的关联。结果表明,多种中年心血管危险因素会增加晚年认知障碍的风险。此外,包括易于测量的中年因素的风险评分可以很好地预测个体的认知障碍风险。