Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Hepatology. 2013 Sep;58(3):872-80. doi: 10.1002/hep.26436. Epub 2013 Jul 29.
On-treatment levels of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) may predict response to peginterferon (PEG-IFN) therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but previously proposed prediction rules have shown limited external validity. We analyzed 803 HBeAg-positive patients treated with PEG-IFN in three global studies with available HBsAg measurements. A stopping-rule based on absence of a decline from baseline was compared to a prediction-rule that uses HBsAg levels of <1,500 IU/mL and >20,000 IU/mL to identify patients with high and low probabilities of response. Patients with an HBsAg level <1,500 IU/mL at week 12 achieved response (HBeAg loss with HBV DNA <2,000 IU/mL at 6 months posttreatment) in 45%. At week 12, patients without a decline in HBsAg achieved a response in 14%, compared to only 6% of patients with HBsAg >20,000 IU/mL, but performance varied across HBV genotype. In patients treated with PEG-IFN monotherapy (n = 465), response rates were low in patients with genotypes A or D if there was no decline of HBsAg by week 12 (negative predictive value [NPV]: 97%-100%), and in patients with genotypes B or C if HBsAg at week 12 was >20,000 IU/mL (NPV: 92%-98%). At week 24, nearly all patients with HBsAg >20,000 IU/mL failed to achieve a response, irrespective of HBV genotype (NPV for response and HBsAg loss 99% and 100%).
HBsAg is a strong predictor of response to PEG-IFN in HBeAg-positive CHB. HBV genotype-specific stopping-rules may be considered at week 12, but treatment discontinuation is indicated in all patients with HBsAg >20,000 IU/mL at week 24, irrespective of HBV genotype.
治疗过程中的乙型肝炎表面抗原(HBsAg)水平可能预测慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)患者对聚乙二醇干扰素(PEG-IFN)治疗的反应,但先前提出的预测规则显示出有限的外部有效性。我们分析了 3 项全球性研究中 803 例 HBeAg 阳性接受 PEG-IFN 治疗的患者,这些研究均有 HBsAg 测量值。与基于基线无下降的停药规则相比,我们比较了一种使用 HBsAg 水平<1500 IU/ml 和>20000 IU/ml 来识别高反应和低反应概率患者的预测规则。治疗 12 周时 HBsAg 水平<1500 IU/ml 的患者,有 45%实现了应答(治疗后 6 个月时 HBeAg 丢失伴 HBV DNA<2000 IU/ml)。治疗 12 周时,无 HBsAg 下降的患者获得应答的比例为 14%,而 HBsAg>20000 IU/ml 的患者仅为 6%,但在不同 HBV 基因型中,这种预测规则的表现有所不同。在接受 PEG-IFN 单药治疗的患者(n=465)中,如果治疗 12 周时 HBsAg 无下降(阴性预测值[NPV]:97%-100%),基因型为 A 或 D 的患者应答率较低,如果治疗 12 周时 HBsAg >20000 IU/ml(NPV:92%-98%),基因型为 B 或 C 的患者应答率较低。治疗 24 周时,几乎所有 HBsAg >20000 IU/ml 的患者均未能实现应答,无论 HBV 基因型如何(应答和 HBsAg 丢失的 NPV 均为 99%和 100%)。
在 HBeAg 阳性 CHB 患者中,HBsAg 是 PEG-IFN 治疗反应的强有力预测因子。可能在治疗 12 周时考虑基于 HBV 基因型的停药规则,但在治疗 24 周时所有 HBsAg>20000 IU/ml 的患者都需要停止治疗,无论 HBV 基因型如何。