White Helene R, Lee Chioun, Mun Eun-Young, Loeber Rolf
Criminology. 2012 May 1;50(2):391-426. doi: 10.1111/j.1745-9125.2011.00263.x. Epub 2012 Feb 22.
This study examined the association of alcohol use with persistence and desistance of serious violent offending among African American and Caucasian young men from adolescence into emerging adulthood. Five violence groups were defined: nonviolent, late-onsetters, desisters, persisters, and one-time offenders. We examined alcohol use trajectories for these groups from ages 12 through 24/25 using a four-piecewise linear growth model (ages 12-14, 14-18, 18-21, and 21-24/25). The persisters and desisters reported the highest levels of drinking at age 13. From ages 14 through 18, however, the late-onsetters showed a higher rate of increase in drinking, compared to the persisters and desisters. Starting from age 18, the desisters' drinking trajectory started to resemble that of the nonviolent group, who showed the highest rate of increase in drinking during emerging adulthood. By age 24/25 the persisters could not be distinguished from the late-onsetters; but were lower than the nonviolent and one-timer groups in terms of their drinking. At age 24/25, the desisters were not significantly different from the other violence groups, although they appeared most similar to the nonviolent and one-timer groups. There was no evidence that the association between drinking and violence differed for African Americans and Caucasians. The findings suggest that yearly changes in alcohol use could provide important clues for preventing violent offending.
本研究调查了非裔美国人和白人青年男性从青春期到成年早期饮酒与严重暴力犯罪的持续及停止之间的关联。定义了五个暴力犯罪组:非暴力组、晚发组、停止犯罪组、持续犯罪组和一次性犯罪组。我们使用四段分段线性增长模型(12 - 14岁、14 - 18岁、18 - 21岁和21 - 24/25岁)研究了这些组从12岁到24/25岁的饮酒轨迹。持续犯罪组和停止犯罪组在13岁时报告的饮酒量最高。然而,从14岁到18岁,晚发组的饮酒量增长率高于持续犯罪组和停止犯罪组。从18岁开始,停止犯罪组的饮酒轨迹开始类似于非暴力组,非暴力组在成年早期饮酒量增长率最高。到24/25岁时,持续犯罪组与晚发组无法区分;但在饮酒方面低于非暴力组和一次性犯罪组。在24/25岁时,停止犯罪组与其他暴力犯罪组没有显著差异,尽管他们似乎与非暴力组和一次性犯罪组最为相似。没有证据表明非裔美国人和白人在饮酒与暴力犯罪的关联上存在差异。研究结果表明,饮酒量的逐年变化可为预防暴力犯罪提供重要线索。