Additional prognostic value of exercise testing and thallium-201 scintigraphy in catheterized patients without previous myocardial infarction.

To determine whether exercise testing and thallium scintigraphy provide additional prognostic information in symptomatic patients undergoing catheterization, we studied 432 consecutive male patients without a previous myocardial infarction by means of an exercise test, thallium scintigraphy and catheterization. The follow-up period was 46 +/- 24 months (from 12 to 96). Events were defined as death (27 patients), nonfatal myocardial infarction (occurring in 27 patients) or late (greater than 60 days after test) surgery or dilatation (needed in 45 patients). The 5 year survival rate was 89% and the event-free rate was 72%. History, noninvasive and invasive variables were submitted to a stepwise Cox regression analysis. By multivariate analysis, the significant variables related to death were the number of diseased vessels and exercise workload; the selected variables for all cardiac events were the number of diseased vessels; the score at thallium exercise testing and exercise workload. Among the subgroups of 337 coronary patients, the predictive variables for death were exercise workload and the number of diseased vessels. For all cardiac events, the selected variables were the number of diseased vessels, the score of defects during thallium exercise and exercise workload. Thus, in patients without a previous myocardial infarction, noninvasive variables do provide prognostic information which is not available either from the history or from catheterization.