Long-term prediction of major ischemic events by exercise thallium-201 single-photon emission computed tomography. Incremental prognostic value compared with clinical, exercise testing, catheterization and radionuclide angiographic data.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate the prognostic role of exercise thallium-201 (Tl-201) single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND

Compared with planar Tl-201 scintigraphy, Tl-201 SPECT allows enhanced assessment of myocardial perfusion abnormalities. However, the long-term prognostic value of exercise Tl-201 SPECT has not been ascertained and compared with that of other techniques of investigation.

METHODS

Predictors of ischemic events were sought in 217 patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease who underwent exercise Tl-201 SPECT, coronary angiography and rest radionuclide angiography and who initially received medical therapy. Predictive values were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

During a mean (+/- SD) follow-up period of 70 +/- 19 months, 29 patients had a major ischemic event (cardiac death or myocardial infarction). Total extent of exercise defects was the best independent predictor by Tl-201 SPECT of major events (p < 0.001) and provided additional prognostic information compared with clinical, exercise testing and catheterization variables (p < 0.02). Extent of reversible Tl-201 SPECT perfusion defects provided additional prognostic information compared with extent of irreversible defects (p < 0.001) and was the sole Tl-201 SPECT variable providing additional prognostic information compared with radionuclide left ventricular ejection fraction (p < 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Total extent of exercise Tl-201 SPECT defects is a powerful long-term predictor of major ischemic events that enhances the prediction provided by clinical, exercise testing and coronary angiographic data. In view of its prognostic significance, extent of reversible Tl-201 SPECT defects might provide original information about improving prognosis by coronary revascularization.