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2000-2009 年法国医药创新对寿命和医疗支出的影响。

The impact of pharmaceutical innovation on longevity and medical expenditure in France, 2000-2009.

机构信息

Columbia University, United States; National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.

出版信息

Econ Hum Biol. 2014 Mar;13:107-27. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2013.04.002. Epub 2013 Apr 12.

Abstract

Longitudinal, disease-level data are used to analyze the impact of pharmaceutical innovation on longevity (mean age at death) and medical expenditure in France during the period 2000-2009. The estimates imply that pharmaceutical innovation increased mean age at death by 0.29 years (3.43 months) during this period-about one-fifth of the total increase in longevity. This estimate is smaller than those obtained in previous studies of Germany and the U.S., but the rate of adoption of new drugs was lower in France. Longevity is much more strongly related to the number of drugs than it is to the number of drug classes. Pharmaceutical innovation during 2000-2009 is estimated to have increased per capita pharmaceutical expenditure by $125 (26%) in 2009, but most (87%) of this increase was offset by a reduction in hospital expenditure. The baseline estimate of the cost per life-year gained from pharmaceutical innovation in France during 2000-2009 is about $8100. This estimate is fairly close to the mean of estimates obtained ($10,800) from U.S., German, and Australian studies.

摘要

利用纵向、疾病层面的数据,分析了 2000-2009 年期间法国药品创新对预期寿命(平均死亡年龄)和医疗支出的影响。研究结果表明,在此期间,药品创新使平均死亡年龄增加了 0.29 岁(3.43 个月),占预期寿命总增长的五分之一左右。这一估计值小于德国和美国此前研究的结果,但法国新药的采用率较低。预期寿命与药物数量的相关性远强于与药物种类的相关性。2000-2009 年期间的药品创新预计将使 2009 年的人均药品支出增加 125 美元(26%),但其中 87%的增长被医院支出的减少所抵消。法国 2000-2009 年期间药品创新带来的每增加一年预期寿命的成本估计约为 8100 美元。这一估计值与从美国、德国和澳大利亚的研究中得出的估计值(10800 美元)的平均值相当接近。

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