Ortendahl Monica
Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.
Int J Biomed Sci. 2007 Jun;3(2):81-5.
Health promotion often works toward remote goals with a trade-off between costs today and benefits in the future. However, for individuals using a positive discount rate for health outcomes a healthy state many years ahead has such a small value that it is difficult to motivate them to engage in preventive behaviors. The framework of time and risk for analysis can perform a useful role in health education and information where the framing of different features of risk might diminish discounting and increase motivation to change behavior. Personal versus general risk and perceived control related to preventive programs are discussed. A summary of valuation factors in preventive programs based on literature review is presented: (a) long-term decisions are sensitive to discount rates; (b) discount rates vary by level of uncertainty, individuals, and contexts; (c) personal risks from adverse health behaviors are judged as smaller than the same risks for people in general; (d) probability discounting is used, if the risk is perceived as controllable; (e) people's tendency to discount future consequences might be suppressed by lowering the amount of perceived control.
健康促进通常致力于实现长远目标,需要在当前成本和未来收益之间进行权衡。然而,对于那些对健康结果采用正贴现率的个体而言,多年后的健康状态价值极小,以至于很难激励他们采取预防行为。时间与风险分析框架在健康教育和信息传播中能发挥有益作用,其中对风险不同特征的框架设定可能会减少贴现并增强改变行为的动机。本文讨论了个人风险与一般风险以及与预防项目相关的感知控制。基于文献综述,本文总结了预防项目中的估值因素:(a)长期决策对贴现率敏感;(b)贴现率因不确定性水平、个体和情境而异;(c)人们认为不良健康行为带来的个人风险小于一般人群面临的相同风险;(d)如果风险被认为是可控的,则会采用概率贴现;(e)降低感知控制程度可能会抑制人们对未来后果进行贴现的倾向。