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危重病期间发生应激性心肌病患者的死亡率预测因素。

Predictors of mortality in patients with stress-induced cardiomyopathy developed during critical care.

机构信息

Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Gachon University Gil Medical Center, Incheon, Korea.

出版信息

J Crit Care. 2013 Oct;28(5):618-24. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2013.03.014. Epub 2013 May 15.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The aims of this study were to define predictors of in-hospital mortality and to explore the implication of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score in patients with stress-induced cardiomyopathy (SCM) developed during critical care.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients admitted to intensive care unit and underwent transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) were consecutively enrolled from January 2008 to May 2011. Clinical, demographic and laboratory data, APACHE II score, and transthoracic echocardiography finding were analyzed using a logistic regression model to investigate predictors of in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 71 patients (60 ± 18 years, 37% male) were included in the final analysis. In univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, underlying malignancies, male sex, age less than 65 years, and APACHE II score higher than 15 remained independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality of SCM. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for APACHE II was 0.745 (95% confidence interval, 0.630-0.861; P = .001), and an APACHE II score of 15 (sensitivity 73%, specificity 68%) was the optimal cutoff value in predicting in-hospital mortality of SCM during critical care.

CONCLUSION

The in-hospital mortality in patients with SCM that developed during critical care was associated with underlying malignancy, male sex, old age, and APACHE II score.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定危重症期间应激性心肌病(SCM)患者院内死亡率的预测因素,并探讨急性生理学与慢性健康评估(APACHE)Ⅱ评分的意义。

材料与方法

2008 年 1 月至 2011 年 5 月,连续纳入入住重症监护病房并接受经胸超声心动图(TTE)检查的所有患者。使用逻辑回归模型分析临床、人口统计学和实验室数据、APACHE Ⅱ评分和经胸超声心动图结果,以探讨院内死亡率的预测因素。

结果

共有 71 例患者(60±18 岁,37%为男性)纳入最终分析。在单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析中,基础恶性肿瘤、男性、年龄<65 岁和 APACHE Ⅱ评分>15 仍然是 SCM 院内死亡率的独立危险因素。APACHE Ⅱ评分的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.745(95%置信区间,0.630-0.861;P=0.001),APACHE Ⅱ评分 15 分(敏感性 73%,特异性 68%)是预测危重症期间 SCM 院内死亡率的最佳截断值。

结论

危重症期间发生的 SCM 患者的院内死亡率与基础恶性肿瘤、男性、高龄和 APACHE Ⅱ评分有关。

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