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[北京猩红热发病周期的小波分析及其与五运六气学说的关系]

[A wavelet analysis on the onset cycle of scarlet fever in Beijing and its relationship with theory of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors].

作者信息

Fu Bang-ze, Tang Qiao-ling, Huang Ling, He Juan

机构信息

Juan School of Basic Medical Sciences, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China.

出版信息

Zhongguo Zhong Xi Yi Jie He Za Zhi. 2013 Mar;33(3):338-42.

PMID:23713246
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To explore the onset cycle of scarlet fever in Beijing and its association with theory of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors (FEPSCF).

METHODS

Based on the monthly scarlet fever data from 1970 to 2004, Complex Morlet wavelet was adopted to analyze the annual incidence and the incidence of six climatic factors in the past 35 years. Its association with the cycles of FEP-SCF was explored. The features of heavenly stems and earthly branches in the year that the wave peak corresponded and their correlations with doctrine of FEPSCF were analyzed.

RESULTS

The annual incidence of scarlet fever and the incidence of FEPSCF had two main cycles, i.e., 5 years and 28 years. The 5-year primary cycle was consistent with 5-year cycle of FEPSCF theory. The high incidence year of 5-year primary cycle was Jinyun.

CONCLUSIONS

The cycle of five evolutive phases was consistent with the onset cycle of scarlet fever. The quasi-periodic phenomenon and multi-cycle superimposed phenomenon of FEPSCF theory existed in the incidence of scarlet fever.

摘要

目的

探讨北京猩红热的发病周期及其与五运六气学说的关系。

方法

基于1970年至2004年的猩红热月度数据,采用复Morlet小波分析过去35年的年发病率及六气发病率。探讨其与五运六气周期的关系。分析波峰对应年份的干支特征及其与五运六气学说的相关性。

结果

猩红热年发病率及五运六气发病率有两个主要周期,即5年和28年。5年的主周期与五运六气学说的5年周期一致。5年主周期的高发年份为金运。

结论

五运周期与猩红热发病周期一致。猩红热发病率存在五运六气学说的准周期现象和多周期叠加现象。

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