Uchida Mitsuo, Kaneko Minoru, Yamamoto Hiroshi, Honda Takayuki, Kawa Shigeyuki
Center for Health, Safety and Environmental Management, Shinshu University.
Nihon Eiseigaku Zasshi. 2013;68(2):103-17. doi: 10.1265/jjh.68.103.
Schools were closed worldwide during the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic to prevent the viral spread; however, to date, there has been insufficient evidence to conclude that the closures were beneficial. Therefore, in the present review, we evaluated the effects of school closure during the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in Japan. A search of PubMed and Japanese journals identified 24 articles that evaluated the effects of school closure using the following methods: descriptive epidemiology, changes in absenteeism rate, a simulation model, and reproductive number. Almost all of the retrieved studies showed that school closure effectively reduced the number of new infections and thus subsequently suppressed the epidemic. On the other hand, two major sets of confounding variables were identified. First, the effect of school closure was confounded by the methods used to measure, viral infectivity, subject characteristics, increased immunization rates, nonpharmaceutical interventions, antiviral administration, student contact patterns during school closure, and individual household environments. Secondly, school closure implementation was affected by differences between proactive and reactive closures, differences between seasonal and pandemic influenza, decision factors regarding school closure, socioeconomic cost, and ethics of imposing restrictions on individuals. Therefore, a comprehensive, longitudinal study is necessary to clarify the effects of school closure during viral pandemics.
在2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行期间,全球学校关闭以防止病毒传播;然而,迄今为止,尚无足够证据得出学校关闭有益的结论。因此,在本综述中,我们评估了日本在2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行期间学校关闭的影响。通过检索PubMed和日本期刊,我们确定了24篇使用以下方法评估学校关闭影响的文章:描述性流行病学、缺勤率变化、模拟模型和再生数。几乎所有检索到的研究都表明,学校关闭有效地减少了新感染病例的数量,从而随后抑制了疫情。另一方面,确定了两组主要的混杂变量。首先,学校关闭的效果受到用于测量的方法、病毒传染性、受试者特征、免疫率提高、非药物干预、抗病毒药物管理、学校关闭期间学生接触模式以及个体家庭环境的影响。其次,学校关闭的实施受到主动关闭和被动关闭之间的差异、季节性流感和大流行性流感之间的差异、学校关闭的决策因素、社会经济成本以及对个人实施限制的伦理问题的影响。因此,有必要进行一项全面的纵向研究,以阐明在病毒大流行期间学校关闭的影响。