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60岁以上肾移植患者的生存情况:单中心经验

Survival of renal transplantation patients older than 60 years: a single-center experience.

作者信息

Rodelo J R, Nieto-Ríos J F, Serna-Higuita L M, Henao J E, García A, Reino A C, Tobón J C, Arbeláez M

机构信息

Transplant Group, Nephrology Division, Universidad de Antioquia and Hospital Pablo Tobón Uribe, Medellin, Colombia.

出版信息

Transplant Proc. 2013 May;45(4):1402-9. doi: 10.1016/j.transproceed.2012.10.053.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients are the fastest growing population requiring renal replacement therapy. It has been stated that renal transplantation may be the best treatment option for these patients. However, it has been observed that older patients have a higher mortality rate than those who are younger. Yet the factors that determine post-transplantation outcomes in this population remain poorly defined. The aims of this study were to evaluate the graft and patient survival in kidney transplant recipients who are older than 60 years of age to identify relevant predictive factors.

METHODS

In this population-based retrospective cohort study of 201 kidney transplantations performed in elderly patients from January 2002 throughout June 2009, we estimated the 1-,3-,and 5-year patients and graft survival rates. We also evaluated the complications and the predictors of poor outcomes. Survival times were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and survival differences assessed with Mantel-Cox log rank-test. We performed a Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the impact of baseline and treatment characteristics on patient and graft survival.

RESULTS

Graft and patient survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 76.4%, 71.3%, and 54.3%, and 78.2%, 73.8%, and 56.4%, respectively. Graft survival rates censored for patient death with a functioning graft were 93.1, 92.1, and 89%. Patient survival rates differed between diabetic and nondiabetic subjects at 1, 3 and 5 years (69.5% versus 83.6%; 59.8% versus 72.3%; 43.6% versus 65.7%; P = .008). On multivariate analysis, the factors associated with patients survival were diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio [HR] 2.058, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.173-3.611, P = .012) and the 1-month serum creatinine value was > 1.6 mg/dL (HR 2.108 for each point increase, 95% CI 1.521-2.921, P = .000). Furthermore, there was an insignificant trend forward an association between active or past smoker and lower patient survival (HR 1.689, 95% CI 0.937-3.043, P = .08). The main causes of graft loss were patient death (79.5%). acute rejection (6.8%), and chronic allograft nephropathy (5.5%).

CONCLUSION

Renal transplantation can be performed safely and with acceptable outcomes in elderly patients after appropriate clinical evaluation. The grafts show excellent survival albeit that deaths with a functional graft continue to be an important issue.

摘要

背景

老年患者是需要肾脏替代治疗的增长最快的人群。有人指出,肾移植可能是这些患者的最佳治疗选择。然而,据观察,老年患者的死亡率高于年轻患者。然而,决定该人群移植后结局的因素仍不明确。本研究的目的是评估60岁以上肾移植受者的移植物和患者生存率,以确定相关的预测因素。

方法

在这项基于人群的回顾性队列研究中,对2002年1月至2009年6月期间老年患者进行的201例肾移植进行了研究,我们估计了1年、3年和5年的患者和移植物生存率。我们还评估了并发症和不良结局的预测因素。使用Kaplan-Meier方法分析生存时间,并用Mantel-Cox对数秩检验评估生存差异。我们进行了Cox比例风险回归模型,以评估基线和治疗特征对患者和移植物生存的影响。

结果

1年、3年和5年的移植物和患者生存率分别为76.4%、71.3%和54.3%,以及78.2%、73.8%和56.4%。因患者死亡且移植物功能正常而被审查的移植物生存率分别为93.1%、92.1%和89%。糖尿病和非糖尿病受试者在1年、3年和5年的患者生存率存在差异(69.5%对83.6%;59.8%对72.3%;43.6%对65.7%;P = 0.008)。多因素分析显示,与患者生存相关的因素为糖尿病(风险比[HR]2.058,95%置信区间[CI]1.173 - 3.611,P = 0.012)以及1个月时血清肌酐值>1.6mg/dL(每增加1个单位HR为2.108,95%CI 1.521 - 2.921,P = 0.000)。此外,当前或既往吸烟者与较低的患者生存率之间存在不显著的关联趋势(HR 1.689,95%CI 0.937 - 3.043,P = 0.08)。移植物丢失的主要原因是患者死亡(79.5%)、急性排斥反应(6.8%)和慢性移植肾肾病(5.5%)。

结论

经过适当的临床评估后,老年患者可以安全地进行肾移植,且结局可接受。尽管移植物功能正常的患者死亡仍是一个重要问题,但移植物显示出良好的生存率。

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