St. John's Institute of Dermatology, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Eur J Cancer. 2013 Sep;49(13):2859-68. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2013.04.018. Epub 2013 Jun 1.
There is no prognostic index for primary cutaneous T-cell lymphomas such as mycosis fungoides (MF) and Sezary syndrome (SS).
Two prognostic indices were developed for early (IA-IIA) and late stage (IIB-IVB) disease based on multivariate data from 1502 patients. End-points included overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). External validation included 1221 patients.
Significant adverse prognostic factors at diagnosis consisted of male gender, age >60, plaques, folliculotropic disease and stage N1/Nx for early stage, and male gender, age >60, stages B1/B2, N2/3 and visceral involvement for late stage disease. Using these variables we constructed two separate models each defined using 3 distinct groups for early and late stage patients: 0-1 (low risk), 2 (intermediate risk), and 3-5 factors (high risk). 10 year OS in the early stage model was 90.3% (low), 76.2% (intermediate) and 48.9% (high) and for the late stage model 53.2% (low), 19.8% (intermediate) and 15.0% (high). For the validation set significant differences in OS and PFS in early stage patients (both p<0.001) were also noted. In late stage patients, only OS differed between the groups (p=0.002).
This proposed cutaneous lymphoma prognostic index provides a model for prediction of OS in early and late stage MF/SS enabling rational therapeutic choices and patient stratification in clinical trials.
蕈样肉芽肿(MF)和 Sezary 综合征(SS)等原发性皮肤 T 细胞淋巴瘤尚无预后指数。
根据 1502 例患者的多变量数据,为早期(IA-IIA)和晚期(IIB-IVB)疾病开发了两个预后指数。终点包括总生存(OS)和无进展生存(PFS)。外部验证包括 1221 例患者。
早期疾病诊断时具有显著不良预后因素包括男性、年龄>60 岁、斑块、滤泡性疾病和 N1/Nx 期,晚期疾病为男性、年龄>60 岁、B1/B2 期、N2/3 期和内脏受累。使用这些变量,我们为早期和晚期患者分别构建了两个独立的模型,每个模型均使用 3 个不同的组别定义:0-1 个(低危)、2 个(中危)和 3-5 个因素(高危)。早期模型中,10 年 OS 分别为 90.3%(低危)、76.2%(中危)和 48.9%(高危),晚期模型中,53.2%(低危)、19.8%(中危)和 15.0%(高危)。在验证集中,早期患者的 OS 和 PFS 也存在显著差异(均<0.001)。在晚期患者中,只有 OS 组间存在差异(p=0.002)。
该提出的皮肤淋巴瘤预后指数为 MF/SS 的早期和晚期提供了 OS 预测模型,为临床试验中的合理治疗选择和患者分层提供了依据。