CABI, 2800 Delémont, Switzerland.
Biol Lett. 2013 Jun 12;9(4):20130028. doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2013.0028. Print 2013 Aug 23.
How global warming will affect insect parasitoids and their role as natural enemies of insect pests is difficult to assess within a short period of time. Considering that elevation gradients can be used as analogues for global warming, we carried out meta-analyses of 27 correlations between parasitoid richness and elevation and 140 correlations between parasitism rate and elevation in natural and semi-natural environments. We also explored various covariates that may explain the observed responses. Both parasitism rates and parasitoid species richness significantly decreased with increasing elevation. The decrease was greater for ectoparasitoids and parasitoids of ectophagous insects than for endoparasitoids and parasitoids of endophagous hosts, possibly because these latter are better protected from adverse and extreme climatic conditions occurring at higher elevations. Although our results suggest an increase of parasitism with increasing temperature, other factors regulating herbivorous insects have to be considered before concluding that climate warming will lead to a decrease in pest density.
在短时间内评估全球变暖将如何影响昆虫寄生蜂及其作为害虫天敌的作用是困难的。考虑到海拔梯度可以作为全球变暖的类似物,我们对自然和半自然环境中 27 个寄生蜂丰富度与海拔的相关性和 140 个寄生率与海拔的相关性进行了荟萃分析。我们还探讨了可能解释观察到的反应的各种协变量。寄生率和寄生蜂物种丰富度都随海拔的升高而显著降低。外寄生蜂和外食性昆虫的寄生蜂的减少幅度大于内寄生蜂和内食性昆虫的寄生蜂,这可能是因为后者在更高海拔处遇到的不利和极端气候条件下受到更好的保护。尽管我们的结果表明随着温度的升高寄生率会增加,但在得出气候变暖将导致害虫密度降低的结论之前,还必须考虑到其他调节植食性昆虫的因素。