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初潮年龄与结直肠癌风险:荟萃分析。

Age at menarche and risk of colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2013 Jun 6;8(6):e65645. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0065645. Print 2013.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Various observational studies have focused on the relationship between menarcheal age and the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the association is still controversial because of inconsistent results. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to assess this issue from epidemiological studies.

METHODS

After a literature search in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science for studies of menarcheal age and CRC risk published through the end of January 2013, we pooled the relative risks (RRs) from included studies using a fixed- or random-effects model and performed heterogeneity and publication bias analyses. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Eleven case-control and 11 cohort studies were eligible for inclusion in our analysis. The random-effects pooled RR for oldest versus youngest menarcheal age was 0.95 [95% confidence intervals (CIs) = 0.85-1.06], with significant heterogeneity (Q = 61.03, P<0.001, I (2) = 65.6%). When separately analyzed, case-control (RR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.75-1.21) and cohort studies (RR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.90-1.04) yielded similar results. Moreover, similar results were also observed among the subgroup analyses by study quality, population, exposure assessment, anatomic cancer site, subsite of colon cancer, and several potential important confounders and risk factors. There was no evidence of publication bias and significant heterogeneity between subgroups detected by meta-regression analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings from this meta-analysis demonstrated that menarcheal age was not associated with the risk of CRC in humans. Further studies are warranted to stratify results by the subsite of colon cancer and menopause status in the future.

摘要

背景

多项观察性研究集中于初潮年龄与结直肠癌(CRC)风险之间的关系。然而,由于结果不一致,这种关联仍存在争议。因此,我们进行了一项荟萃分析,以评估来自流行病学研究的这个问题。

方法

在 MEDLINE、EMBASE 和 Web of Science 中进行了文献检索,检索截至 2013 年 1 月底发表的关于初潮年龄与 CRC 风险的研究,我们使用固定或随机效应模型对纳入研究的相对风险(RR)进行汇总,并进行了异质性和发表偏倚分析。所有统计检验均为双侧检验。

结果

共有 11 项病例对照研究和 11 项队列研究符合纳入标准。最老与最早初潮年龄相比的随机效应汇总 RR 为 0.95(95%置信区间[CI]为 0.85-1.06),存在显著异质性(Q = 61.03,P<0.001,I (2) = 65.6%)。当分别进行分析时,病例对照研究(RR = 0.95,95%CI = 0.75-1.21)和队列研究(RR = 0.97,95%CI = 0.90-1.04)得出了相似的结果。此外,根据研究质量、人群、暴露评估、解剖癌部位、结肠癌亚部位以及几个潜在的重要混杂因素和危险因素的亚组分析也观察到了相似的结果。Meta 回归分析未发现发表偏倚和亚组间的显著异质性。

结论

本荟萃分析的结果表明,初潮年龄与人类 CRC 风险无关。未来需要进一步研究按结肠癌亚部位和绝经状态分层结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a4d3/3675201/b552751491e2/pone.0065645.g001.jpg

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