School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Canynge Hall, 39 Whatley Road, Bristol BS8 2PS, UK.
Br J Cancer. 2013 Jul 9;109(1):42-9. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2013.317. Epub 2013 Jun 25.
Survival from breast cancer in the United Kingdom is lower than in other developed countries. It is unclear to what extent waiting times for curative surgery affect survival.
Using national databases for England (cancer registries, Hospital Episode Statistics and Office of National Statistics), we identified 53 689 women with localised breast cancer, aged ≥ 15 years, diagnosed between 1996 and 2009, who had surgical resection with curative intent within 62 days of diagnosis. We used relative survival and excess risk modelling to determine associations between waiting times and 5-year survival.
The median diagnosis to curative surgery waiting time among breast cancer patients was 22 days (interquartile range (IQR): 15-30). Relative survival was similar among women waiting between 25 and 38 days (RS: 93.5%; 95% CI: 92.8-94.2%), <25 days (RS: 93.0%; 95% CI: 92.5-93.4%) and between 39 and 62 days (RS: 92.1%; 95% CI: 90.8-93.4%). There was little evidence of an increase in excess mortality with longer waiting times (excess hazard ratio (EHR): 1.06; 95% CI: 0.88-1.27 comparing waiting times 39-62 with 25-38 days). Excess mortality was associated with age (EHR 65-74 vs 15-44 year olds: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.07-1.41) and deprivation (EHR most vs least deprived: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.09-1.49), but waiting times did not explain these differences.
Within 62 days of diagnosis, decreasing waiting times from diagnosis to surgery had little impact on survival from localised breast cancer.
英国的乳腺癌患者生存率低于其他发达国家。目前尚不清楚手术治疗的等待时间在多大程度上影响了生存率。
利用英格兰国家数据库(癌症登记处、医院住院统计和国家统计局),我们确定了 53689 名年龄≥15 岁、1996 年至 2009 年间诊断为局限性乳腺癌、有治愈手术意向且在诊断后 62 天内进行手术切除的女性患者。我们使用相对生存率和超额风险模型来确定等待时间与 5 年生存率之间的关系。
乳腺癌患者从诊断到手术治疗的中位等待时间为 22 天(四分位距(IQR):15-30)。在等待 25-38 天(RS:93.5%;95%CI:92.8-94.2%)、<25 天(RS:93.0%;95%CI:92.5-93.4%)和 39-62 天(RS:92.1%;95%CI:90.8-93.4%)的女性中,相对生存率相似。随着等待时间的延长,超额死亡风险几乎没有增加(超额危险比(EHR):1.06;95%CI:0.88-1.27,与 39-62 天相比,25-38 天)。超额死亡与年龄(EHR 65-74 岁与 15-44 岁:1.23;95%CI:1.07-1.41)和贫困程度(EHR 最贫困与最不贫困:1.28;95%CI:1.09-1.49)相关,但等待时间并不能解释这些差异。
在诊断后 62 天内,将诊断至手术的等待时间缩短对局限性乳腺癌的生存影响不大。