Fresnadillo-Martínez Maria José, García-Sánchez Enrique, García-Merino Enrique, del Rey Ángel Martín, García-Sánchez José Elías
Departamento de Medicina Preventiva, Salud Pública y Microbiología Médica, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Salamanca, España.
Rev Esp Quimioter. 2013 Jun;26(2):81-91.
This work deals with the study of the use of mathematical models to simulate the spreading of infectious diseases. There is no doubt about the importance of the use of computational tools that allow the health staff to model and predict the spreading of an infectious disease. Using such tools one can establish and simulate disease control strategies. The development of such technologies is a multidisciplinary issue; in this sense, the mathematical algorithms -that must be computationally implemented- play a central role. The main goal of this work is to highlight among health community the increasing importance of the use of mathematical models for epidemic disease spreading. Consequently, the main features of such models are introduced and their classification is stated taking into account the behavior, the basic population unit or the mathematical objects used. An exhaustive search of related papers through the most important databases (Medline and Web of Science) are performed. The main conclusion obtained from this work is the central role that mathematical models can play in the simulation of epidemic spreading; moreover,some ideas about the future research are stated.
这项工作致力于研究使用数学模型来模拟传染病的传播。毫无疑问，使用计算工具对于医护人员对传染病传播进行建模和预测非常重要。利用这些工具，人们可以制定并模拟疾病控制策略。此类技术的发展是一个多学科问题；从这个意义上讲，必须通过计算实现的数学算法起着核心作用。这项工作的主要目标是向卫生界强调使用数学模型来模拟流行病传播的重要性日益增加。因此，介绍了此类模型的主要特征，并根据其行为、基本人口单位或所使用的数学对象对其进行了分类。通过最重要的数据库（医学索引数据库和科学引文索引数据库）对相关论文进行了详尽搜索。这项工作得出的主要结论是数学模型在模拟流行病传播中可以发挥的核心作用；此外，还阐述了一些关于未来研究的想法。
