Sergiev V P, Orlov V S, Boev B V, Grinchenko S N, Sabgaĭda T P
Parazitologiia. 1995 May-Jun;29(3):159-66.
The new mathematical model of P. falciparum malaria has been created. One means the operational forecast of epidemic process when different control measures are realized. The original modelling methodology for epidemics is used. The proposed methodology is allowed to take into account the natural variety of model's parameters. The malaria model consists of the nonlinear integro-differential in partial derivatives combined equations including individual and population characteristics. The informatics technologies permits to see information about model and its grounds. The model's verification has been done on data of Garki-project.
已经创建了恶性疟原虫疟疾的新数学模型。一种方法是在实施不同控制措施时对流行过程进行业务预测。采用了原始的流行病建模方法。所提出的方法能够考虑到模型参数的自然变化。疟疾模型由包含个体和群体特征的偏导数非线性积分 - 微分组合方程组成。信息技术能够查看有关模型及其依据的信息。已根据加基项目的数据对该模型进行了验证。
