Department of Ophthalmology, Leiden University Medical Centre, The Netherlands.
Br J Ophthalmol. 2013 Sep;97(9):1143-7. doi: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2013-303123. Epub 2013 Jul 3.
To develop a new national screening guideline for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP).
Included were infants of the 2009 prospective ROP inventory in The Netherlands with gestational age (GA) <32 weeks and/or birth weight (BW) <1500 g. Five models were studied, based on GA and BW in combination with no, one or a set of five risk factors for ROP. Risk factors were determined by logistic regression. In MEDLINE and EMBASE, additional risk factors were searched. A precondition was that no infants with severe ROP would be missed. Receiver operating characteristic curves or classical measures were used to determine diagnostic accuracy.
The model including all infants with severe ROP comprised screening of infants with GA <30 weeks and/or BW <1250 g and a selection of infants with GA 30-32 weeks and/or BW 1250-1500 g, with at least one of the following risk factors: artificial ventilation (AV), sepsis, necrotising enterocolitis (NEC), postnatal glucocorticoids or cardiotonica. This model would not detect 4.8% (95% CI 2.5% to 8.0%) of infants with mild ROP and would reduce infants eligible for screening by 29%.
In The Netherlands, screening may be safely reduced using a new guideline based on GA, BW, AV, sepsis, NEC, postnatal glucocorticoids and cardiotonica.
制定新的早产儿视网膜病变(ROP)国家筛查指南。
本研究纳入了荷兰前瞻性ROP 登记处 2009 年的婴儿,其胎龄(GA)<32 周且/或出生体重(BW)<1500g。共研究了 5 种模型,这些模型基于 GA 和 BW ,并结合了 ROP 的一个或一组 5 个危险因素。危险因素通过逻辑回归确定。在 MEDLINE 和 EMBASE 中,还搜索了其他危险因素。前提是不会遗漏严重 ROP 的婴儿。使用受试者工作特征曲线或经典指标来确定诊断准确性。
包括所有严重 ROP 婴儿的模型包括对 GA <30 周和/或 BW <1250g 的婴儿进行筛查,并对 GA 30-32 周和/或 BW 1250-1500g 的婴儿进行选择,这些婴儿至少具有以下一种危险因素:人工通气(AV)、败血症、坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)、产后糖皮质激素或心脏激动剂。该模型将无法检测到 4.8%(95%CI 2.5%至 8.0%)的轻度 ROP 婴儿,从而将有资格进行筛查的婴儿减少 29%。
在荷兰,使用基于 GA、BW、AV、败血症、NEC、产后糖皮质激素和心脏激动剂的新指南,可以安全地减少筛查。