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No early warning signals for stochastic transitions: insights from large deviation theory.

作者信息

Boettiger Carl, Hastings Alan

机构信息

Center for Stock Assessment Research, Department of Applied Math and Statistics, University of California, , Mail Stop SOE-2, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA.

出版信息

Proc Biol Sci. 2013 Sep 7;280(1766):20131372. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1372.

Abstract
摘要

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本文引用的文献

1
Early warning signals of stochastic switching.随机切换的早期预警信号。
Proc Biol Sci. 2013 Sep 7;280(1766):20130686. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.0686.
2
Early warning signals and the prosecutor's fallacy.早期预警信号与检察官谬误。
Proc Biol Sci. 2012 Dec 7;279(1748):4734-9. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2012.2085. Epub 2012 Oct 10.
4
Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions.量化检测临界点转折早期预警的极限。
J R Soc Interface. 2012 Oct 7;9(75):2527-39. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2012.0125. Epub 2012 May 16.
5
Early-warning signals for critical transitions.关键转变的早期预警信号。
Nature. 2009 Sep 3;461(7260):53-9. doi: 10.1038/nature08227.
6
Speed of expansion and extinction in experimental populations.实验种群中的扩张与灭绝速度。
Ecol Lett. 2009 Aug;12(8):772-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01325.x. Epub 2009 May 13.
7
Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change.气候突变早期预警信号:气候放缓
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2008 Sep 23;105(38):14308-12. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0802430105. Epub 2008 Sep 11.

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