Center for Healthcare Policy and Research, University of California Davis, Davis, California.
Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, California; Center for Health Policy/Primary Care Outcomes Research, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California.
Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2014 Feb;12(2):253-62.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2013.06.028. Epub 2013 Jul 21.
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The level of fecal calprotectin (FC) can predict the onset of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) with high accuracy and precision. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of using measurements of FC to identify adults and children who require endoscopic confirmation of IBD.
We constructed a decision analytic tree to compare the cost-effectiveness of measuring FC before endoscopy examination with that of direct endoscopic evaluation alone. A second decision analytic tree was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of FC cutoff levels of 100 μg/g vs 50 μg/g (typically used to screen for intestinal inflammation). The primary outcome measure was the incremental cost required to avoid 1 false-negative result by using FC level to diagnose new-onset IBD.
In adults, FC screening saved $417/patient but delayed diagnosis for 2.2/32 patients with IBD among 100 screened patients. In children, FC screening saved $300/patient but delayed diagnosis for 4.8/61 patients with IBD among 100 screened patients. If endoscopic biopsy analysis remained the standard for diagnosis, direct endoscopic evaluation would cost an additional $18,955 in adults and $6250 in children to avoid 1 false-negative result from FC screening. Sensitivity analyses showed that cost-effectiveness of FC screening varied with the sensitivity of the test and the pre-test probability of IBD in adults and children. Pre-test probabilities for IBD of ≤75% in adults and ≤65% in children made FC screening cost-effective, but it was cost-ineffective if the probabilities were ≥85% and ≥78% in adults and children, respectively. Compared with the FC cutoff level of 100 μg/g, the cutoff level of 50 μg/g cost an additional $55 and $43 for adults and children, respectively, but it yielded 2.4 and 6.1 additional accurate diagnoses of IBD per 100 screened adults and children, respectively.
Screening adults and children to measure fecal levels of calprotectin is effective and cost-effective in identifying those with IBD on a per-case basis when the pre-test probability is ≤75% for adults and ≤65% for children. The utility of the test is greater for adults than children. Increasing the FC cutoff level to ≥50 μg/g increases diagnostic accuracy without substantially increasing total cost.
粪便钙卫蛋白(FC)的水平可以高精度和高精准度地预测炎症性肠病(IBD)的发病。我们评估了使用 FC 测量来识别需要内镜确认 IBD 的成人和儿童的成本效益。
我们构建了一个决策分析树,比较了在进行内镜检查之前测量 FC 与单独进行直接内镜评估的成本效益。构建了第二个决策分析树来评估 FC 截断值为 100μg/g 与 50μg/g(通常用于筛查肠道炎症)的成本效益。主要观察指标是使用 FC 水平诊断新发病例 IBD 时,避免 1 例假阴性结果所需的增量成本。
在成人中,FC 筛查为每位患者节省了 417 美元,但在 100 名筛查患者中,有 2.2/32 名 IBD 患者的诊断被延迟。在儿童中,FC 筛查为每位患者节省了 300 美元,但在 100 名筛查患者中,有 4.8/61 名 IBD 患者的诊断被延迟。如果内镜活检分析仍然是诊断标准,那么在成人中,直接进行内镜评估将额外增加 18,955 美元,在儿童中增加 6250 美元,以避免 FC 筛查的 1 例假阴性结果。敏感性分析表明,FC 筛查的成本效益取决于测试的敏感性和成人及儿童中 IBD 的预测试概率。成人 IBD 的预测试概率≤75%,儿童 IBD 的预测试概率≤65%,使得 FC 筛查具有成本效益,但如果成人和儿童的概率分别≥85%和≥78%,则 FC 筛查不具有成本效益。与 100μg/g 的 FC 截断值相比,成人和儿童的 50μg/g 截断值分别增加了 55 美元和 43 美元,但分别增加了 2.4 例和 6.1 例成人和儿童 IBD 的准确诊断。
在成人和儿童中,测量粪便钙卫蛋白水平进行筛查,可以有效且具有成本效益地识别出那些预测试概率≤75%的成人和≤65%的儿童患有 IBD。该测试对成人的效果优于儿童。将 FC 截断值提高到≥50μg/g 不会显著增加总费用,但可以提高诊断准确性。