Am J Psychiatry. 2013 Sep;170(9):977-84. doi: 10.1176/appi.ajp.2013.12091256.
Firearms are the most common method of suicide among young men in Switzerland. From March 2003 through February 2004, the number of Swiss soldiers was halved as a result of an army reform (Army XXI), leading to a decrease in the availability of guns nationwide. The authors investigated the patterns of the overall suicide rate and the firearm suicide rate before and after the reform.
Using a naturalistic study design, the authors compared suicide rates before (1995–2003) and after the intervention (2004–2008) in the affected population (men ages 18–43) and in two comparison groups (women ages 18–44 and men ages 44–53). Data were received from the Swiss Federal Statistical Office. Interrupted time series analysis was used to control for preexisting temporal trends. Alternative methods (Poisson regression, autocorrelation analysis, and surrogate data tests) were used to check validity.
The authors found a reduction in both the overall suicide rate and the firearm suicide rate after the Army XXI reform. No significant increases were found for other suicide methods overall. An increase in railway suicides was observed. It was estimated that 22% of the reduction in firearm suicides was substituted by other suicide methods. The attenuation of the suicide rate was not compensated for during the follow-up years. Neither of the comparison groups showed statistically significant changes in firearm suicide rate and overall suicide rate.
The restriction of firearm availability in Switzerland resulting from the Army XXI reform was followed by an enduring decrease in the general suicide rate.
枪支是瑞士年轻男性最常见的自杀方式。2003 年 3 月至 2004 年 2 月,由于军队改革(二十一世纪军队),瑞士士兵人数减半,导致全国枪支供应量下降。作者调查了改革前后总体自杀率和枪支自杀率的变化模式。
采用自然主义研究设计,作者比较了受影响人群(18-43 岁男性)以及两个对照组(18-44 岁女性和 44-53 岁男性)在干预前(1995-2003 年)和干预后(2004-2008 年)的自杀率。数据来自瑞士联邦统计局。使用中断时间序列分析来控制先前存在的时间趋势。使用替代方法(泊松回归、自相关分析和替代数据检验)来检查有效性。
作者发现,二十一世纪军队改革后,总体自杀率和枪支自杀率均有所下降。其他自杀方法的总体自杀率没有显著增加。观察到铁路自杀事件有所增加。据估计,枪支自杀减少的 22%被其他自杀方法所取代。在随访期间,自杀率的下降没有得到补偿。对照组在枪支自杀率和总体自杀率方面均未显示出统计学上的显著变化。
由于二十一世纪军队改革限制了枪支的可获得性,瑞士的总体自杀率随之持续下降。