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死产胎龄作为复发风险的预测指标。

Stillbirth gestational age as a predictor of recurrence risk.

机构信息

Department of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Intermountain Healthcare and the University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.

Division of Epidemiology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.

出版信息

Am J Perinatol. 2014 May;31(5):393-400. doi: 10.1055/s-0033-1349344. Epub 2013 Aug 5.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated risk of subsequent stillbirth (SB) according to gestational age at initial SB.

STUDY DESIGN

We retrospectively reviewed a cohort of women delivering a singleton SB with at least one subsequent pregnancy. Relative risks (RRs) were calculated using an initial SB gestational age of 36 to < 40 weeks as the referent. Multivariable logistic regression accounted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

In all, 2,887 mothers and 5,090 subsequent births met inclusion criteria. For the immediately next pregnancy, the linear trend for gestational age was not significant (RR 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.03 to 5.53). However, women with index SBs occurring between 20 and 23(6/7) weeks' gestation had a RR for subsequent stillbirth of 2.9 (95% CI 1.2 to 7.1). When including subsequent pregnancies, the test for trend for gestational age was nonsignificant (RR 1.5; 95% CI 0.3 to 8.7). However, women suffering a stillbirth between 20(0/7) and 23(6/7) weeks' gestation in the index pregnancy had an almost threefold increase in the risk of subsequent stillbirth. Women suffering an index stillbirth between 28(0/7) and 31(6/7) weeks' and after 40 weeks' gestation had a 2.5- to 3.5-fold increased risk of subsequent SB.

CONCLUSIONS

Gestational age at initial SB predicts risk of recurrent SB. This effect is most pronounced in women with very preterm or with postterm pregnancies.

摘要

目的

根据首次发生死胎(SB)时的胎龄评估再次发生 SB 的风险。

研究设计

我们回顾性分析了一个单胎 SB 分娩后至少有一次后续妊娠的队列。使用初始 SB 胎龄为 36 至<40 周作为参照来计算相对风险(RR)。多变量逻辑回归考虑了潜在的混杂因素。

结果

共有 2887 名母亲和 5090 次后续分娩符合纳入标准。对于下一次妊娠,胎龄的线性趋势不显著(RR 0.41;95%置信区间 [CI] 0.03 至 5.53)。然而,指数 SB 发生在 20 至 23 (6/7)周之间的女性再次发生 SB 的 RR 为 2.9(95% CI 1.2 至 7.1)。当包括后续妊娠时,胎龄的趋势检验无统计学意义(RR 1.5;95% CI 0.3 至 8.7)。然而,在指数妊娠中发生 20(0/7)至 23(6/7)周之间 SB 的女性,其再次发生 SB 的风险几乎增加了三倍。在指数妊娠中发生 28(0/7)至 31(6/7)周和 40 周以上 SB 的女性,再次发生 SB 的风险增加 2.5 至 3.5 倍。

结论

首次 SB 时的胎龄预测再次发生 SB 的风险。这种影响在极早产儿或过期妊娠的女性中最为明显。

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