Xu Jieyu, Li Yongping, Huang Guohe
Ministry of Energy (MOE) Key Laboratory of Regional Energy Systems Optimization, Sino-Canada Resources and Environmental Research Academy, North China Electric Power University , Beijing, China .
Environ Eng Sci. 2013 May;30(5):248-263. doi: 10.1089/ees.2012.0083.
In water quality management problems, uncertainties may exist in many system components and pollution-related processes (, random nature of hydrodynamic conditions, variability in physicochemical processes, dynamic interactions between pollutant loading and receiving water bodies, and indeterminacy of available water and treated wastewater). These complexities lead to difficulties in formulating and solving the resulting nonlinear optimization problems. In this study, a hybrid interval-robust optimization (HIRO) method was developed through coupling stochastic robust optimization and interval linear programming. HIRO can effectively reflect the complex system features under uncertainty, where implications of water quality/quantity restrictions for achieving regional economic development objectives are studied. By delimiting the uncertain decision space through dimensional enlargement of the original chemical oxygen demand (COD) discharge constraints, HIRO enhances the robustness of the optimization processes and resulting solutions. This method was applied to planning of industry development in association with river-water pollution concern in New Binhai District of Tianjin, China. Results demonstrated that the proposed optimization model can effectively communicate uncertainties into the optimization process and generate a spectrum of potential inexact solutions supporting local decision makers in managing benefit-effective water quality management schemes. HIRO is helpful for analysis of policy scenarios related to different levels of economic penalties, while also providing insight into the tradeoff between system benefits and environmental requirements.
在水质管理问题中,许多系统组件和与污染相关的过程可能存在不确定性(例如,水动力条件的随机性、物理化学过程的变异性、污染物负荷与受纳水体之间的动态相互作用以及可用水和处理后废水的不确定性)。这些复杂性导致在制定和解决由此产生的非线性优化问题时存在困难。在本研究中,通过耦合随机鲁棒优化和区间线性规划开发了一种混合区间鲁棒优化(HIRO)方法。HIRO能够有效反映不确定性下的复杂系统特征,在此研究了水质/水量限制对实现区域经济发展目标的影响。通过对原始化学需氧量(COD)排放约束进行维度扩展来界定不确定决策空间,HIRO增强了优化过程及所得解决方案的鲁棒性。该方法应用于中国天津滨海新区与河流水污染相关的产业发展规划。结果表明,所提出的优化模型能够有效地将不确定性纳入优化过程,并生成一系列潜在的不精确解决方案,以支持地方决策者管理效益有效的水质管理方案。HIRO有助于分析与不同经济处罚水平相关的政策情景,同时也能深入了解系统效益与环境要求之间的权衡。