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一种用于不确定性下废物分配规划的模糊鲁棒优化模型

A Fuzzy Robust Optimization Model for Waste Allocation Planning Under Uncertainty.

作者信息

Xu Ye, Huang Guohe, Xu Ling

机构信息

MOE Key Laboratory of Regional Energy and Environmental Systems Optimization, Sino-Canada Resources and Environmental Research Academy, North China Electric Power University , Beijing, China .

Faculty of Engineering, University of Regina , Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada .

出版信息

Environ Eng Sci. 2014 Oct 1;31(10):556-569. doi: 10.1089/ees.2014.0011.

Abstract

In this study, a fuzzy robust optimization (FRO) model was developed for supporting municipal solid waste management under uncertainty. The Development Zone of the City of Dalian, China, was used as a study case for demonstration. Comparing with traditional fuzzy models, the FRO model made improvement by considering the minimization of the weighted summation among the expected objective values, the differences between two extreme possible objective values, and the penalty of the constraints violation as the objective function, instead of relying purely on the minimization of expected value. Such an improvement leads to enhanced system reliability and the model becomes especially useful when multiple types of uncertainties and complexities are involved in the management system. Through a case study, the applicability of the FRO model was successfully demonstrated. Solutions under three future planning scenarios were provided by the FRO model, including (1) priority on economic development, (2) priority on environmental protection, and (3) balanced consideration for both. The balanced scenario solution was recommended for decision makers, since it respected both system economy and reliability. The model proved valuable in providing a comprehensive profile about the studied system and helping decision makers gain an in-depth insight into system complexity and select cost-effective management strategies.

摘要

在本研究中,开发了一种模糊鲁棒优化(FRO)模型,用于支持不确定性条件下的城市固体废物管理。以中国大连市开发区为例进行示范。与传统模糊模型相比,FRO模型通过将预期目标值之间的加权和最小化、两个极端可能目标值之间的差异以及约束违反的惩罚作为目标函数,而不是单纯依赖预期值的最小化,从而取得了改进。这种改进提高了系统可靠性,并且当管理系统涉及多种类型的不确定性和复杂性时,该模型变得特别有用。通过案例研究,成功证明了FRO模型的适用性。FRO模型提供了三种未来规划情景下的解决方案,包括(1)经济发展优先,(2)环境保护优先,以及(3)两者兼顾。建议决策者采用兼顾情景的解决方案,因为它兼顾了系统经济性和可靠性。该模型在提供有关所研究系统的全面概况以及帮助决策者深入了解系统复杂性并选择具有成本效益的管理策略方面被证明是有价值的。

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