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[对1989 - 1999年期间正畸需求的未来需求及正畸医生适当数量的估计]

[An estimation of the future demand in orthodontic needs and of the appropriate number of orthodontists for the period 1989-1999].

作者信息

Zurcher J M, Lang R, Joho J P

机构信息

Division d'Orthodontie et de Pédodontie, Faculté de Médecine, l'Université de Genève.

出版信息

Schweiz Monatsschr Zahnmed. 1990;100(7):835-40.

PMID:2392668
Abstract

The present study is a repetition of two previous orthodontic Gallup polls (Gehrig et al. 1981 and Roh et al. 1986). It was conducted with the goal to reactualize the orthodontic workload in Switzerland in 1989 and to produce prognostic figures for 1994 and 1999. 1092 questionnaires have been sent out and 53.1% were returned duly completed. The number of orthodontic specialists, 79 in 1984, has increased to 104 in 1989. Despite this augmentation and the additional factor of an increase from 152 to 173 new cases per year per specialist, all specialists together treated only 29.5% of the newly started cases. This figure was 22.6% in 1984. The total of Switzerland's orthodontic needs is still not covered and it will therefore be necessary to train 29 new specialists until 1994 and 34 additional specialists in the period 1994 to 1999. This means that 4 to 5 new specialists have to be trained in Switzerland per year over the next ten years.

摘要

本研究重复了之前的两项正畸领域盖洛普民意调查(Gehrig等人,1981年;Roh等人,1986年)。开展该研究的目的是重新了解1989年瑞士的正畸工作量,并得出1994年和1999年的预测数据。共发出1092份调查问卷,53.1%的问卷被如期完整返还。正畸专科医生的数量从1984年的79名增加到了1989年的104名。尽管有这一增长,且每个专科医生每年新增病例数从152例增加到了173例,但所有专科医生加起来仅诊治了新发病例的29.5%。1984年这一数字为22.6%。瑞士的正畸需求仍未得到满足,因此到1994年有必要培训29名新专科医生,在1994年至1999年期间再培训34名专科医生。这意味着在未来十年里,瑞士每年必须培训4至5名新专科医生。

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