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2011 年,产志贺毒素大肠埃希氏菌 O104:H4 感染的临床结局和潜伏期与年龄和性别之间的关系。

Associations of age and sex with the clinical outcome and incubation period of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O104:H4 infections, 2011.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2013 Sep 15;178(6):984-92. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwt069. Epub 2013 Aug 8.

Abstract

We pooled data on adults who reported diarrhea or developed life-threatening hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) in any of 6 closed cohorts from 4 countries (1 cohort each in Denmark, France, and Sweden and 3 in Germany) that were investigated during a large outbreak of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O104:H4 infection in 2011. Logistic regression and Weibull regression for interval censored data were used to assess the relation of age and sex with clinical outcome and with incubation period. Information on the latter was used in a nonparametric back-projection context to estimate when adult cases reported in Germany were exposed to STEC O104:H4. Overall, data from 119 persons (median age, 49 years; 80 women) were analyzed. Bloody diarrhea and HUS were recorded as the most severe outcome for 44 and 26 individuals, respectively. Older age was significantly associated with bloody diarrhea but not with HUS. Woman had nonsignificantly higher odds for bloody diarrhea (odds ratio = 1.81) and developing HUS (odds ratio = 1.83) than did men. Older participants had a statistically significantly reduced incubation period. The shortest interval that included 75% of exposures in adults spanned only 12 days and preceded outbreak detection. In conclusion, the frequency of bloody diarrhea but not of HUS and the length of the incubation period depended on the age of individuals infected with STEC O104:H4. A large number of people were exposed to STEC O104:H4 for a short period of time.

摘要

我们汇集了 2011 年在四个国家的 6 个封闭队列中报告腹泻或发生危及生命的溶血性尿毒症综合征(HUS)的成年人的数据(丹麦、法国和瑞典各有 1 个队列,德国有 3 个队列)。在这次由产志贺毒素大肠杆菌(STEC)O104:H4 引起的大规模暴发期间对这些队列进行了调查。使用逻辑回归和间隔 censored 数据的 Weibull 回归来评估年龄和性别与临床结局和潜伏期的关系。利用后者的信息在非参数反向投影上下文中估计在德国报告的成年病例何时接触到 STEC O104:H4。总共分析了 119 人的数据(中位数年龄为 49 岁,80 名女性)。血性腹泻和 HUS 分别记录为 44 人和 26 人最严重的结局。年龄较大与血性腹泻显著相关,但与 HUS 无关。女性发生血性腹泻(比值比=1.81)和发生 HUS(比值比=1.83)的几率高于男性,但差异无统计学意义。年龄较大的参与者潜伏期明显缩短。包括成年人暴露的 75%的最短间隔仅为 12 天,并且早于暴发检测。总之,STEC O104:H4 感染个体的血性腹泻频率但不是 HUS 频率和潜伏期的长度取决于个体的年龄。大量人在很短的时间内接触到 STEC O104:H4。

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