The Schroeder Institute for Tobacco Research and Policy Studies, Legacy, Washington, DC, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2013 Aug 7;8(8):e71379. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0071379. Print 2013.
A 2011 report from the National Lung Screening Trial indicates that three annual low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screenings for lung cancer reduced lung cancer mortality by 20% compared to chest X-ray among older individuals at high risk for lung cancer. Discussion has shifted from clinical proof to financial feasibility. The goal of this study was to determine whether LDCT screening for lung cancer in a commercially-insured population (aged 50-64) at high risk for lung cancer is cost-effective and to quantify the additional benefits of incorporating smoking cessation interventions in a lung cancer screening program.
The current study builds upon a previous simulation model to estimate the cost-utility of annual, repeated LDCT screenings over 15 years in a high risk hypothetical cohort of 18 million adults between age 50 and 64 with 30+ pack-years of smoking history. In the base case, the lung cancer screening intervention cost $27.8 billion over 15 years and yielded 985,284 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained for a cost-utility ratio of $28,240 per QALY gained. Adding smoking cessation to these annual screenings resulted in increases in both the costs and QALYs saved, reflected in cost-utility ratios ranging from $16,198 per QALY gained to $23,185 per QALY gained. Annual LDCT lung cancer screening in this high risk population remained cost-effective across all sensitivity analyses.
The findings of this study indicate that repeat annual lung cancer screening in a high risk cohort of adults aged 50-64 is highly cost-effective. Offering smoking cessation interventions with the annual screening program improved the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening between 20% and 45%. The cost-utility ratios estimated in this study were in line with other accepted cancer screening interventions and support inclusion of annual LDCT screening for lung cancer in a high risk population in clinical recommendations.
2011 年国家肺癌筛查试验的一份报告表明,与胸部 X 射线相比,每年三次低剂量计算机断层扫描(LDCT)筛查可使肺癌高危人群的肺癌死亡率降低 20%。讨论已经从临床证据转移到财务可行性。本研究的目的是确定在商业保险人群(年龄在 50-64 岁)中进行肺癌 LDCT 筛查是否具有成本效益,并量化将戒烟干预措施纳入肺癌筛查计划的额外益处。
本研究基于之前的模拟模型,估计了在 1800 万 50-64 岁有 30+包年吸烟史的高危假想队列中,每年重复进行 LDCT 筛查 15 年的成本效益。在基线情况下,肺癌筛查干预措施在 15 年内花费 278 亿美元,获得 985284 个质量调整生命年(QALY),成本效益比为每获得 1 QALY 花费 28240 美元。在这些年度筛查中加入戒烟干预措施,不仅增加了成本,还增加了节省的 QALYs,反映在成本效益比从每获得 1 QALY 花费 16198 美元到每获得 1 QALY 花费 23185 美元不等。在所有敏感性分析中,对高危人群进行年度 LDCT 肺癌筛查仍然具有成本效益。
本研究的结果表明,对 50-64 岁高危人群进行重复年度肺癌筛查具有高度成本效益。对年度筛查计划进行戒烟干预可以提高肺癌筛查的成本效益 20%至 45%。本研究中估计的成本效益比与其他公认的癌症筛查干预措施一致,并支持在临床建议中纳入高危人群的年度 LDCT 筛查。